Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Cocktails At Noon | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Go to the Kingdom | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Schrader | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Addicted to You | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elusive Image | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Oscar | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Happy Jaunt | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Top Blood | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zapata (IRE) | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rennie | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Souper Crunchy | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Preacha Meyers | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Liam’s the Great | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | White Blue | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Better Watch It | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kentucky Go Go | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Strategist | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Task Force | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Triple Sec | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | City Panda | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Real Talented | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | World On Fire | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ariel Moon | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Music On the Rocks | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Any Fools Gold | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Summer Love | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Boss | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sippin’ Time | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Born Charmer | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Monster Summer | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Quamash | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dave the Great | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Courageous Mission | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dad Joke | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Railroad Inn | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | All Fruits Ripe | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Furious George | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nancie’s Boy | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moral Distortion | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Royal Flush Hearts | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Share Success | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | As the Bell Toles | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Charming | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Do It | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Malibu’s Rumrunner | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Celtic Harp | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iamdependingonyou | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stroll Trippin | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ixchel | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Law School | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ultimate Love | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dale’s Bluff | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Radar Loop | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dakota Cam | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Jester Sang | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stewball | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Luca Machine | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Farooq | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hips Champ | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chimney Sweep | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Albert Finnigan | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Long Straw | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.