Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 5, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Souper Iconic 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Doadster 2.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Golden Test 2.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Clive Cross 6.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Cut’em Loose 10.00 4 8-1
4 4 Fourlegsgood 8.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Very Debonaire 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Great Kate 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Strega 1.60 1.1 2-1
2 2 Stormy Ocean 4.00 4 8-1
1 1 Pickford Sweet 6.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Makayla 10.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 I Have an Idea 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Key Stroke 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Guard of Honour 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Monday Morning 2.00 2.9 6-1
7 7 Pet Sounds 1.80 3.1 6-1
3 3 Dare to Be King 6.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Blue Montjeu 10.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Quandale 12.00 6 11-1
5 5 Perfect Play 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 King Elvis 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 British Artillery 4.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Quiet Intent 15.00 4.6 9-1
10 10 Split Strike 3.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 War in Charge 15.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Silver Smoke 15.00 6.6 12-1
4 4 Sooner Lunar 8.00 7.4 14-1
3 3 Ethnic Soul 6.00 7.5 14-1
11 11 Proud Ronin 20.00 8.8 17-1
8 8 Wico (IRE) 12.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 True Shot 20.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Country Living 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Little Red Domi 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Caught Speeding 4.50 4.3 8-1
6 6 Backonthechaingang 2.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Cooler Man 12.00 6.7 13-1
5 5 Ry Pie 12.00 6.9 13-1
7 7 Secret Threat 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Padraig 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Pocket Speed 3.50 1.4 3-1
1 1 Bee Me 2.00 1.7 3-1
4 4 Signature Sir 2.50 2.7 5-1
5 5 Paynes Spirit 8.00 4 8-1
6 6 Strawberry Again 10.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Souper Strider 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Countryboysurvive 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Just Jacobo 1.60 1.5 3-1
3 3 Waheela 8.00 2 4-1
6 6 Souper Effect 3.50 2.3 4-1
4 4 Spiritual Man 6.00 3 6-1
1 1 Please Don’t Go 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Mid Day Image 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Paperback Hero 10.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Harper City 3.50 4.8 9-1
6 6 Executive Search 3.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Dissectologist 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Classic Dancer 20.00 6 11-1
7 7 Tricky Magician 6.00 6.8 13-1
4 4 Fairway to Heaven 12.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.