Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Hustle | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Funkenstein | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bandero | 3.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Granted Success | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harvard | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zipper Zapper | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | You Kidding Me | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Excitable Boy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paco the Taco Man | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Runaway Jack | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fightertown | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devil’s Cay | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Altobelli | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Citizen K | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kendama | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bode’s Maker | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Damir | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rollercoaster Man | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cloud Music | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Shot Fired | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hashtag No Wonder | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Factotum | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Crabcakes N Beer | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky Lucky Luke | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Supreme Being | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bear Hunt | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Banana Brian | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Roar | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blackwater Falls | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sara’s Rose | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Afterneath | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bess’ Candy | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dark Dutchess | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Police Woman | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Keep It Safe | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Lancer | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ok by Me | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Divine Romance | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shining Spirit | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yumyum Eat Em Up | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pudd’n N Pie | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Dance | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Prima | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Leo’s Legacy | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Hearts | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Epitaph | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Athletic Star | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Full Proof | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minister | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bukovel | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Golden Rocket | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honor Cat | 1.80 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clementine Hunter | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mishka | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brightness | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tariba Dream | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.