Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Style to Follow | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bad Temper | 1.80 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simmering | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Arwen | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Melodia | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Illusion of Hope | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Frame Up | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Parlay for Destiny | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | God Is Life | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Choppa | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Plutus | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Soo Handsome | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jr Sergio | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Pretorian Gold | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | First Glimpse | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Muldoon | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | California Tiger | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Falfurrias | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Escape Key | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Socially Awkward | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Aspiring Comedian | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chuck Adams | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Passport | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bold Ambition | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fight Fiercely | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mogalu | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Belts ‘n Brooks | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Raisedaroofcharlie | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Book Marker | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Norfie | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Total Bliss | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Volatility | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mischiefness | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Honorable Chill | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kindred Hearts | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pure Magic Girl | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heybackatcha | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Feisty One | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lino and Me | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Borracho | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rad Paisley | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Greyzer | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sunset Town | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormproof | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spotted Bull | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Disturbed | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kbcya Later | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Normandy Hero | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cold Feet | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Psychedelic Shack | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noble Jon | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dalinar | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Magic Spin | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Power Attack | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Icing | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pallino | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Afraidofthebunny | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.