Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 11, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bramble Blast 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Memorized 2.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Always Ready 3.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Sweet Little Lila (IRE) 4.50 4.9 9-1
3 3 Alibi 6.00 6 11-1
7 7 Germantown 4.50 6.2 12-1
4 4 Oscar Bound 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Stylish Gem 5.00 1 2-1
7 7 Peace of Gold 8.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Mappy 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Grit N Glitter 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Big Heleonora 4.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 Rouge Grandeur 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Op Overlord 12.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Zuby 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Army Gal 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Collect the Data 1.20 1.4 3-1
2 2 Sohana 6.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Gone and Forgotten 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Jackson’s Dixie 12.00 3.2 6-1
1 1 Majestic Return 8.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Mommasgottagun 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Miami Style 8.00 1 2-1
8 7 My Devine One 3.50 2.1 4-1
5 4 Cara’s Dreamchaser 8.00 3.3 6-1
1 8 Neshika 3.00 3.5 7-1
4 3 My Boston Beauty 6.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Hanna’s Hideaway 6.00 4.5 8-1
1A 10 Makealittlelove 3.00 5 10-1
6 5 Considerate City 6.00 5.2 10-1
3 2 Flying Phoebe 20.00 7 13-1
7 6 Mia Sophia 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Devil in Disguise 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Typhoon Fury 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Alexis Zorba (GB) 6.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Spoken Bluntly 3.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Java Buzz 6.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Screaming Uncle 15.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Side Eye 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Trust Issues 2.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Toolpusher 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Tizmarkus 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Ranger Battalion 1.60 SCRATCH
9 9 Storm the Streets 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Amundson 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Takeschargesmiling 4.50 2.1 4-1
4 4 Shipsational 3.50 3.8 7-1
9 9 Neuschwanstein 20.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Glint 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Ocala Dream 4.50 5.3 10-1
2 2 Concorde Spirit 20.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Thrill of It 15.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Jackson Heights 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 2 Red Burgundy 3.50 1 2-1
4 3 Tour Jete 4.00 1.3 3-1
2 1 Gallant Greta 2.50 3.4 6-1
9 8 Firsttimeinforever 10.00 3.6 7-1
10 9 North End Lady 5.00 4.5 8-1
8 7 Can’t Fool Me 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Bernt Again 12.00 5.2 10-1
7 6 Snowy Evening 10.00 6 11-1
5 4 Latest Edition 20.00 SCRATCH
1A 11 Sweetest Princess 1.00 SCRATCH
1 10 Malu 1.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Sight to See 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Beira 4.00 1.7 3-1
8 8 Cararra 3.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Moon Cache 12.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 Fortuna Mia 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Baby Sassicaia 12.00 5 9-1
11 11 Purloin 6.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Adrian 10.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Looks First 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 She’s Cool 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Backstretch Rose 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.