Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Proven Hope | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Air of Defiance | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Agent Creed | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ember | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Synthesis | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Justify | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sittin On Go | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Noahs Ark | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mission Mike | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Succession Gold | 30.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Paynter’s Canvas | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nikolaou | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tis Charming | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ultimate Strike | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Johnson | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Romantic Lead | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shortstop | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dancing Noah | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Enough Already | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Scuba | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Publicity | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Colonial Rose | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Not a Joke | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Colormecairo | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Ellary | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mad About Marie | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fourfiftyseven | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wits and Wagers | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rando | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Lala | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | On Time Girl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tennessee Belle | 1.20 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Cloud Rising | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sugaree | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Champagne Candice | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tizianna | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Seeker | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Boom Boom Bell | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cinnamon Sugar | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mia’s Go | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Oscar Season | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fidget | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Depiction | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | English Chunnel | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Theismann | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Stoked | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | In a Jam | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ocean Pointe | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Not Falling Back | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Authentic Gallop | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Bold Discovery | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Money Supply | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Summer in Adriane | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Glam Slam | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Tipsy | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Solemn Vow | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Measure | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Acquazurra | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sugar Doll | 8.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A Fine Chardonnay | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Lady Revenge | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dancewhenyoucan | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Legit Chick | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Touch of an Angel | 8.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bonne Sante | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Midnight Flight | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Of All Things | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Baracca | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Joke Maker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Easy Red | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Moscato | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Marmalade Skye | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fibber | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jersey Pearl | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Legadema | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Non Violence | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pistol | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tapit Quick | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Copper Em | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | American Xperiment | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mumayaz | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Top Gun Tommy | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Show Time | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lightning Struck | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Pranks | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pure Panic | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Guanare | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nabokov | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princip | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.