Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Arabella Stone |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miss Kissem |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Stoik |
3.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Separate Speacial |
4.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rr Jess a Legacy |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Kvn Good One |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
First Painteddynasty |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Frans Dynasty |
4.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Apollitical Menace |
5.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Happy Wagon |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
You Gotta Famous |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Bloody Valentine Z |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
B an Illusion |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Relentless Summer |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Roy Hobs |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Carolinas Cartel |
2.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Monday Disastur |
3.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ls Mad Seis |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Hush Munny |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Marfa Regime |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Promised Oath |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Higher Path |
3.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dixie One |
3.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Wicked Hot Foot |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Our Lockets Rocket |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
R F Express |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cloudy Holiday |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tango Mike Mike |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Moonlight Road |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Riding Double |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Perscripture |
5.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Come On Mulitch |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Shabam |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Chrome Racer |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Undecoded |
3.50 |
2 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hardly Mischievous |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Milliganmikeandme |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Marina’s Gold |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
C’S Lilly Dancer |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lottery Ticket |
3.50 |
1.9 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
R N B Baby |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Miss Control Freak |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flirtin Again |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Esprit Rouge |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thorn Crown |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Charlee Mae |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Skyboom |
2.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Merasol Sugar |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
First Love |
4.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Aloha Baby |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shakin Spice |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Baxter |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Justice Once |
3.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
My Rapha |
3.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Macho Forty Five |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Edgy Lover |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Five Charlie |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dontdrinkanddrive |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Cavanal |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Guns |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Comprehend |
4.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dusan |
5.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Kennedy’s Cause |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Royal and Ready |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Cutting Joke |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Parisian Promise |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.