Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Misinformation | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Audible | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Barstool | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mitola | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flat Rock Road | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fulmine | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Herbs Bolt | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Brock’s Boy | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Henry Oliver | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Whirl | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vino Subito | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Big Pop | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Curlin’s Magic | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wonder of You | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commanded | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Tizntshelovely | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Global Allure | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Street Painter | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Coastline Hottie | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Bay | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tartaria | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Itsablingthing | 30.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nursekringledances | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | St. Albans Raid | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | R Pretty Kitty | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Atarah | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brunch With Amy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ride the Broom | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Volatile Market | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Planet Clare | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Carlie | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Split Success | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Ny | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mizmalice | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Morunning | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | One Mor Story | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brilliant Man | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Love | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Army Hero | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rulookinforrayray | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Farm Team | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Trojan Pride | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Batter Up | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spurgeon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Good Money | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Silvertown | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Not a Lady | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Frolicking | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bonne Sante | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Baracca | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take a Bow | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Midnight Flight | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mother Green | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tramuntana | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Of All Things | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Thistooshallpass | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Supersonic Agenda | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lit Ship | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | No Time Left | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Red Rainbow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Pocahontas S.) – Pocahontas S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dazzling Dame | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Embrace the Moment | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Two Girls | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taken by the Wind | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Complicated | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joke Maker | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starlit Sky | 4.50 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Fasig-tipton Locust Grove S.) – Fasig-tipton Locust Grove S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Royal Spa | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alpine Princess | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Pretty Woman | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corningstone | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free Like a Girl | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Regaled | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Iroquois S.) – Iroquois S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spice Runner | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Comport | 1.20 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nothing Personal | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So Special | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nine Ball | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sometime | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Maximus Prime | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vost | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shake and Rattle | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No More Cents | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Open Mind S.) – Open Mind S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mink’s Palace | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Positano Sunset | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Little Prankster | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Lightning | 15.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Taxed | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Impel | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Louisville Thoroughbred Society S.) – Louisville Thoroughbred Society S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bentornato | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Little Ni | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Skelly | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roll On Big Joe | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Durante | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Here Mi Song | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Banjo Chris | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ajaayb | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Full Moon Madness | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Nash | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | World Record | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Subito | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Bob Mo | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Barker | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hitchcock | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nu What’s New | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Good Mojo | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | En Fuego | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crazy Diamond | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nuanced | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Empire Ranch | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ifyouneedmecallme | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Exodus Twist | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Evan On Earth | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Torment | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.