Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Misinformation | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Herbs Bolt | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Barstool | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perfect Audible | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fulmine | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vino Subito | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mitola | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flat Rock Road | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Henry Oliver | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brock’s Boy | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Whirl | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Curlin’s Magic | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Pop | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wonder of You | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Commanded | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | St. Albans Raid | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nursekringledances | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Tizntshelovely | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Street Painter | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Bay | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coastline Hottie | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Global Allure | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tartaria | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Itsablingthing | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Atarah | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R Pretty Kitty | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brunch With Amy | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Volatile Market | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Split Success | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Planet Clare | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Ny | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ride the Broom | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mizmalice | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Carlie | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Morunning | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good Money | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forty Love | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Farm Team | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Army Hero | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | One Mor Story | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brilliant Man | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spurgeon | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rulookinforrayray | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Batter Up | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Trojan Pride | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lit Ship | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Frolicking | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take a Bow | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Baracca | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bonne Sante | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Of All Things | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Not a Lady | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | No Time Left | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tramuntana | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Midnight Flight | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Supersonic Agenda | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silvertown | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mother Green | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Red Rainbow | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Thistooshallpass | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Pocahontas S.) – Pocahontas S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dazzling Dame | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Complicated | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Starlit Sky | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Taken by the Wind | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Embrace the Moment | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Two Girls | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Joke Maker | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Fasig-tipton Locust Grove S.) – Fasig-tipton Locust Grove S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Royal Spa | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alpine Princess | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Our Pretty Woman | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free Like a Girl | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Corningstone | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Regaled | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Iroquois S.) – Iroquois S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Comport | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spice Runner | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nothing Personal | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So Special | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No More Cents | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Vost | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nine Ball | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Maximus Prime | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sometime | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shake and Rattle | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Open Mind S.) – Open Mind S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Positano Sunset | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impel | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Taxed | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Little Prankster | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mink’s Palace | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gray Lightning | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Louisville Thoroughbred Society S.) – Louisville Thoroughbred Society S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bentornato | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Skelly | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | World Record | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roll On Big Joe | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nash | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Durante | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Full Moon Madness | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Little Ni | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Here Mi Song | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Banjo Chris | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ajaayb | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Subito | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hitchcock | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Evan On Earth | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nuanced | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Good Mojo | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Bob Mo | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Barker | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | En Fuego | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Ifyouneedmecallme | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Torment | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Crazy Diamond | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Nu What’s New | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Empire Ranch | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Exodus Twist | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.