Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Suitefourfourthree | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Code Name Willow | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cocktail Humor | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chillow | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tailored for Joy | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Autumn’s Turn | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trick of the Light | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Wine | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nancy Made My Day | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Makizan | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hello Sunshine | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prom Knight | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | P J’s Song | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Level Up | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mean Tweets | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ghost Stalker | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mahomes Money | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dynamic Actress | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Distant Winter (SAF) | 1.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Outofthe Blue | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stern Chaser | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tiki Bar | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Party | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fiveclocksomewhere | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Conch Fried Rice | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | King of Hollywood | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Santos to Wilson | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookin At Roses | 4.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Remembering Wilbur | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Group Ticket | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Style Me Royal | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catatumbo | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caughtandcollected | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Long Astride | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I Feelucky Tonite | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Run Chachy Run | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Echale Ganas | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Forty Seven Smoker | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Java Tales | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mom Esterina | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Astrid | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Golden Chakra | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eimear | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ry Ry | 8.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | God I Need a Favor | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Panchita | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Warm Up the Bus | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | La Dinamita | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coda Mia | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Virtual | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Feather Wish | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s a Natural | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Amendment | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lady Lena | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Call Me Babe | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Vintage | 3.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forget Tomorrow | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chloe’s Banker | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Armoured | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Eachpeachpearplum | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Affirmed Blessing | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Point Dume | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adero | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quick to Accuse | 8.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Auto Glide | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cadet Corps | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vitality | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frosty the Giant | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Pappy’s Revenge | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wild Vine | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Howgreatisnate | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Renewing Vows | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Like a Dream | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Centeya | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Canadian Bear | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Te Amo | 30.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Al Gimaam | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blonde Samaritan | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sea Shanty | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Peach Tea | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bella Mama | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classicals Finale | 5.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rehoboth Avenue | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Bourbon N Lace | 8.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Smart Red | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Major Mayhem | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Magnolia Prime | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Big Dreamer | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Itsamonstamash | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vieux Carre | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Valhalla Vixen | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dancing Diana | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Neolithica | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Princess | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Oops and Downs | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Harmony Road | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Green Eyed Monster | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dance On Air | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rama Bama Lana | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Bolt | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Nohai | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sweet and Feisty | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gortreagh Gal | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Creed | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Somethingtosay | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vamonos Chicas | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Cartoon City | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jenny Bk’s On Fire | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Six Shooter Suzie | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Hill Sparrow | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Fifth of June | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.