Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Magna Tap | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Mountain | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keraunos | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spirit of Spoatie | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soul Sacrifice | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hit One Out | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Muckity | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Summer Splash | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speight and Malice | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hello Hot Rod | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Absaroka | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Perliano | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Playing Hardball | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Weird Year | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dose’s Dream | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Love Candy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Inca Empire | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | T Bones Trick | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mackinnon | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ethical Judgement | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Proven Advocate | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Legendary Lore | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | We Hear You | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Prime Number | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Find the Light | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crown Thyme Queen | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Passando | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bougie Like | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magnolia Princess | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sunshine Sister | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daretocatchlove | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Warm Days | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Closdatgate | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Brother Reid | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sivako | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Whiskey Not Wine | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coastal Brink | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zia Zapper | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Interstellar | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mor Lana Spirit | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Team Leader | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Grapnel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Axton | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Clay’s Black Opal | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cawkab | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Okie | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lea Me Be | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tiger Dad | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Brady | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Johnny Appleseed | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dulcia | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Tappy Tone | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Okie Bling | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Accelerate Judy | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Marquette Warrior | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mola Mia | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Kinda Trouble | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fayette Blue | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Let Her Be | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | An Awesome Legacy | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flash Master | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Business as Usual | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Razors Edge | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foolish Affair | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Itty Bitty Baby | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Majestic Tornado | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Imperial Gun | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Twenty One Skidoo | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Cowboy | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tizabling | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Gunner | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Go Go Boss | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Parkway | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Coalcowboy | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Twentyone N Change | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Papa Bill | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Okie Smoke | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Promise Code | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Legacy Account | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Peloton | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | He’s a Rock | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ooey Gooey Chewy | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Devil | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Laridae | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hay Scooby Doo | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.