Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Salt Princess | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Two by Two by Two | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | American Mink | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | River Empress | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Probable Choice | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Call | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Karey | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smiling Rosie | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Blue Line (GB) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ticket to Ride | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Atenea | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fancy Lights | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dancingwithdestiny | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Too B Wed | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dancing Miracle | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Angie’s Angel | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Great Happenings | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tiza Smokeshow | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hot Currency | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Grey Ace | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leading Role | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freedom Maker | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Remember the Chief | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Seeker’s Hope | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nice Try Riley | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Athenia S.) – Athenia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Moonage Daydream | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Spinning Colors | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey Decision | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Czech | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dreaming of Abba | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Edict (ARG) | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flowers for Me | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Firefoot | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amanda’s Folly | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Midtown Lights | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Just Music | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Not for Hire | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Van Vollenhoven | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Skyler’s Starship | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Launch Control | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alan Turing | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sir Kartrite | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Master Freud | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Richard Ave | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Scaramanga | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stormy Birthday | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Pandemic Hero | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Price Is Truth | 50.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Uncle George | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | King Puck | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Roofer | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bod Beach | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Escape Hall | 1.60 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Capanaparo | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fort Griffin | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hoosick Falls | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | State of Attack | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Dancin Jane | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bryant and Cooper | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lotus Petal | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Twirly | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Melody | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Proud Mary | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Queen Atlas | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Island Fox | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Saucy Six | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Spirit of Esther | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | She’s Complicated | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Spun Size | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Always Practical | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Gate | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I’m Buzzy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Melle Mel | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amy’s Light | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catchphrase | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Pens Street | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spring Magic | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Roman Goddess | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speak Softly | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lika Rolling Stone | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Whistler’s Style | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shezanarcticqueen | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dolce Sera | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Kimmie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.