Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dark Thirty | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Country Club | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Z Train (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Reign Champagne | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Smokin Hot Wife | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Many Mo Kisses | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hope Restored | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Midnight Sugar | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Interlock Empire | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Battleoflexington | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jr’s Gift | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Raising Kane | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tejas | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Schifty’s Haloid | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Truly Legit | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Catalina Cat | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon State | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ridge of Fire | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coffee Talk | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Utopian | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flick | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Vengeance | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Poppa Echo | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Araucano | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charisma | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Free Advice | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wizard of Yester | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Fly J’s Funtastic | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Duty Calls | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | My King Air | 15.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wartank | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | I Did I Did | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Instant Impact | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Your Wildest Dream | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Direct Strike | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roguishness | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | September Silver | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bedeviled | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beale Street Boy | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Go Jack Go | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moonwalk | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dive Bomber | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chance | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Good Lord | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colonel Caliente | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Linebacker | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hesper | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fifth Avenue | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anthonian | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | McIlroy | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Baytown Bruiser | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Prince’s Spur | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Papa Yo | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eastside Cool | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hayes Strike | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Onthestage | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | I’m Your Man | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Background | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Mojo | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Couperin | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gin’s Beach Road | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Quick to Charm | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Love Supreme | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bodacious Beauty | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Muse | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bells of Maranello | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Madison’s Charm | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mo Complex | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Jewel Box | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Complex Trick | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wella | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Betty Who | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Kalahari Dreams | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Boat | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ancient World | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guns Loaded | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perfect Force | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shan | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gettinby | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sinister Smile | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Yes It Tiz | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Necessity | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sarah’s Dream | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quietly | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Swede | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | El Joury | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ensorcell | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lookster | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | My Sexy Blonde | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Blake | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Appeal | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Theprincessfactor | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Irish | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Daisy Duke | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Feasible | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kentucky Smokeshow | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moon Over Choctaw | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thestral | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Cowgirl Chic | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Give Her Another | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cervaro Della Sala (GB) | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mom’s Cheesecake | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Royalewithcheese | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mombayla | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Freak City | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.