Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Admiral Mo | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Biagio | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Empire Sky | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Depoli | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Guaio | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Vitement | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Okie Den Den | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bottles | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Encrypt | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | River’s Gamble | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Skull Honor | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sheer Dominance | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Deivys | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Evasive Moves | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Starlord | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mystic Lute | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Scudetto | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flashy Alex | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scamp Walker | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pontiac | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Irie Empress | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Expect to Be Ready | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Goldcrest | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gun Runnin’ Gal | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tiz Race Day | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Far Heart | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Coach Knight | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Just Be Honest | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Cheesy | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Renard | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Watch Hill | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bijah Again | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Dosser | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Denali Rae | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Popover Gal | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheza Bernardini | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Mischief | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Five Star Fran | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mended We Stand | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo’s Vino Mesa | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Roundtree | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nuedorf | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Float On | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ninja Prize | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lucky Dude | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amazing Woo | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cantaro | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mad Banker | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lost and Confused | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Secured Landing | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Ice | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pando | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Missouri River | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Metalhead | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Max Forward Speed | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | One Improbable | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My Kid Syd | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ortho Star | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fourty Four | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Dream | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mavis Mischief | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mr. Bogan | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Otter Mischief | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lex | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Colonel Bob | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wiffleball | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jolly Grey Giant | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Go Yoshida | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Airman Trevor | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adios Jersey | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.