Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Brooklynn Drew | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Misty Muppet | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Musical Prayer | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mink Stole | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fancy Fascinator | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Onmywaytosavthday | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Streaking | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baytown Butterfly | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Busk | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shape Note | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Turn Up the Trees | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spycraft | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mine Own Star | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mister Kelly | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready to Roll | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sergeant Gump | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Federal Agent | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tingus Pingus | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trapped in Time (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Court of Appeal | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Consequential | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stolen Power | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Off the Deck | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bagg O Time | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cosmic Collission | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Saltwater Cowboy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sir Saffer | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Synthesis | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Texas Red Hot | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Master Game | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Slip Mahoney | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Critical Threat | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Winston Wolf | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Thunderer | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alejandro | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Rags | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Jetty’s Home | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fade to Gold | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Noroomformischief | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Corbet’s Crush | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Crevalla de Vil | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sudden Squall | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Statutory | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sacred Prayer | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Supersonic Agenda | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Listentourmother | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Click | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Scot’s Law | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | G Rocks | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Lovely Summer | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Trapped | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Uncle William | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Norwich | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Remi’s Moon | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curlin’s Gesture | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moral | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ravens Dream | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Major Dax | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Sway House | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Luxx | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | It Ain’t Like That | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hoops Rivalry | 4.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Lolly Poppin | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | A P Sweetheart | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Stella Guitar | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freaks Go | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Endless Glory | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Happy Keira | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sticker Shocked | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Smokin Hot Stuff | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | By La Rina | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Nora | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Queen of Queens | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Our Liberty Belle | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | De’ Ans Eighty | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gloriette | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Promises to Dance | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Outrageously | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mazoku | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Sassy and Bold | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s No Angel | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chief Lady | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Honey Hauler | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Progeny | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Steel Venom | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cinister Cix | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fine Vino | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Harbe | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Helm Place | 6.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seven Taylors | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rich Vino | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Mor Stones | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ryu Mo | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Penei | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Primo Canary | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Bullet | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.