Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Lonesome Glory H.) – Lonesome Glory H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hidden Path | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Swore | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bee Well | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Welshman | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zarak the Brave (FR) | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Travesuras | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Caramelised (GB) | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sweet Will (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Evie’s Prince | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | She’s Complicated | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit of Esther | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Yo Leven | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cha Cha Wren | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toxic Girl | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Political Spin | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lucky and Gorgeous | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | That’sthefactjack | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sunshine Lily | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Giuliana’s Dream | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Katie King | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Patience N Grace | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bodegas | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Brokealltherules | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Velvet Cake | 3.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Ride | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Innate (IRE) | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Feltrinelli | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bosun | 1.80 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sesame Seed Bagel | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Executive Order | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Flat to Da Mat | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marcus Gift | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Henry’s Hope | 50.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Zippy Mark | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | V Cruizer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fraudster | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One More Guitar | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Isadora Duncan (IRE) | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Give Your Best (IRE) | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Jeweler | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Blue Madame | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Belle of Georgia (IRE) | 6.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Come On Get Happy | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Pampered | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Jadorlinija | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Two Bits | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Authentic Cat | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Vekoma View | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bold Endeavor | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Laughing Boy | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peek | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiberius Mercurius | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | O P Firecracker | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Victory | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Tryst | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Trouble | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winter’s Ghost | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Slightly Busy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Weekend Rags | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strictly Taboo | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patria | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kerry | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Linarite | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Blossoming Erudite | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Latest Edition | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Majestic Return | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Accelerated News | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Bellacose | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Moe Eighty Eight | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Egyptian | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Askingforafriend | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Before the Wind | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Oat Coutour | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Inspeightofcharlie | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Klimt Master | 30.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Willpowered | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Zeus Lightning | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Chris’s Song | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.