Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 18, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Lonesome Glory H.) – Lonesome Glory H.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Evie’s Prince 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Welshman 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Travesuras 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Swore 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bee Well 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Hidden Path 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Caramelised (GB) 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Zarak the Brave (FR) 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sweet Will (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Political Spin 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Yo Leven 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Spirit of Esther 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Lucky and Gorgeous 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 That’sthefactjack 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cha Cha Wren 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 She’s Complicated 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Toxic Girl 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sugar Ride 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Brokealltherules 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Red Velvet Cake 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Giuliana’s Dream 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Katie King 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Bodegas 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Patience N Grace 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sunshine Lily 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Sesame Seed Bagel 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Marcus Gift 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Feltrinelli 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Bosun 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Zippy Mark 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Flat to Da Mat 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Executive Order 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Henry’s Hope 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 V Cruizer 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Innate (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 The Jeweler 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Come On Get Happy 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Fraudster 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Pampered 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Jadorlinija 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 One More Guitar 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Blue Madame 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Two Bits 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Authentic Cat 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Vekoma View 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Belle of Georgia (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Isadora Duncan (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Give Your Best (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Tiberius Mercurius 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bold Endeavor 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bold Victory 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Royal Tryst 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Laughing Boy 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Winter’s Ghost 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 O P Firecracker 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Peek 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Midnight Trouble 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Linarite 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Patria 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Latest Edition 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Weekend Rags 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Majestic Return 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Strictly Taboo 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kerry 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Accelerated News 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Slightly Busy 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Blossoming Erudite 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Bellacose 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Inspeightofcharlie 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Klimt Master 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Askingforafriend 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Before the Wind 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Willpowered 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Zeus Lightning 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Oat Coutour 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Egyptian 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Moe Eighty Eight 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Chris’s Song 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.