Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Risk It | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vasa | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Timing Difference | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Countthebrave | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Perfect Magic | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fully Volatile | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Redacted | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Reveller’s Cheer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Copp | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Altiplano | 4.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thunder Roll | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pirandello | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | King Lee | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bestball | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Courageous Clay | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Gunner Bay | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Legacy | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Can’t Hush This | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heart Headed | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bushido | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zambezi | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Condemn | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Archie the Giza | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Maxxus | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mo Beach Time | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Race Ready | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Thunder Murphy | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Super Kick | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Thousand Spirits | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chatterfield | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 14 | 14 | No Bees | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Crypto Cory | 10.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Project Ace | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kingofsomewherehot | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lex Go Honey | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Orville’s Map | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Vino Subito | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chayton | 15.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Payne | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Air Combat | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncashed | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Burninhunkoflove | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Global Sensation | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | American Law | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chiseler | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr. Melo | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kenz | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Amended Dreamer | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bounce | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bourbon Notes | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Statutory | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Raspberry | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiffany Cross | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Time Left | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dancin in Old Town | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Supersonic Agenda | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sir Greylind | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bernin Hot | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | El Magnifico | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Money Supply | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Resilience | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stowaway | 10.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Duke of Duval | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mackman | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Winters Lion | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Amor Patriae | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mitty’s Griddy | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Quality | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Faust | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Map to the Stars | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Taylor’s Version | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Math Tutor | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Hymn | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Goldentown | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jack’s Promise | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majority Opinion | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | McDude | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.