Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miss Fulton Gal | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rock Etiquette | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Techstar | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honor Bright | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lucky Esther | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tortuga Coast | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heybabyyougotit | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Musical Power | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Half a Deck | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Minister Confessor | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Prime Motive | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | English Daddy | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boy Magic | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Sebastian | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gambe Forte | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sincerito | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wonder Water | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Companion | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kinda Clever | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ambiance | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Natures Fury | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Go Mischievous | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Country Embrace | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Moonshine | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | In the Biz | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Meatballsforaries | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fantasy Affair | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Social Storm | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mezcalera | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Lunar Buzz | 15.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Common Sense | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bossyness | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shy Shy | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Judith’s Cross | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mikey’s Jewel | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kentucky Reign | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hop to a Decision | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Penny Polka | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Once an Eagle | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Liam’s Kiss | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Gogo Chanel | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Z First | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Center Stage | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Salagadoola | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Maximo Madness | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bramble Bush | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Extremely Gruntled | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chez Soleil | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bossy Boots | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Keep It Safe | 15.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Starry Hope | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saltamontes Diva | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lullaby Land | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Recognize Me | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Fool With Me | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Country Economics | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brightness | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cahira’s Song | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rose Gold Candy | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | C. C. Foxii | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unicycle | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runsweetly | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mi Bella Genio | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Alrasikh | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hidden Motive | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Lucky | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Moonlit Frost | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 13 | 13 | My Vacation | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kitten’s Ploy | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Courageous Mission | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Summer Ready | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mister Chill | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Call Mee Rex | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Viral Video | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pujol | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Last of Bad Boys | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Little Caibo | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Peridot Pendant | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Opposite the Crowd | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Divine Romance | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Eib Micrphn | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ritabook | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Fudge Warrior | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | I Believe in Magic | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Coal Mine | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Little Crybaby | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Nat Gas | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Latin Rebel | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sky Masterson | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Messi the Great | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boyd’s Band | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Half a League | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lou’s Birthday | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.