Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Boat’s a Rockin | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Noble Jon | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boss Is a Pal | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Embolden | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Vamos Viejo | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tall Order | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Katie’s Notion | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Upsidedown Man | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brother Conway | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Byk | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Wait Up | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pay Zone | 1.80 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Yankee | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Backnthewoods | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Patty Cakes | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cleopatra’s Nile | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Tell Kelly | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Solving Progress | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Creed | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fivecommatwo | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mainstream Sellout | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Put a Rock On It | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Swan Point | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Spoils of War | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | I Can Run | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Golden Charm | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lakeside Getaway | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | B West | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Laddie Dance | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forward Move | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Agent | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Little Lance | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Competitive Saint | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sin Permiso | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bridoza | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Call Bob | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Completeeffort (IRE) | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gualillo | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salming | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Descent | 30.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brother Bobo | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Long Straw | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Renfro’s Reception | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Screen Test | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Essentially Gold | 30.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Frosty Mojito | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lunar Buzz | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tai Tai Rush | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Common Sense | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pie Phi | 5.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hoof and Boots | 6.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Top Down Day | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coach Mazzula | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Great Andrei | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grayson’s Girl | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weekend Wife | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gilda’s Girl | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Works | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Can Do It | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Christy My Love | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Diamond Sue | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Speightful Sis | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mopo | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chickahominy | 1.40 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Touisset | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Krone | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Preparefortakeoff | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rapido Rosa | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peace Out | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Loving Cup | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Watch Your Tone | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baby Sox | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ribbonsinherhair | 2.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Exchange | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dubstep | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Looking for Water | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Majesty’s Freedom | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.