Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | National Identity | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle George | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Leo’s Reward | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Roofer | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Long Pour | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Detail Oriented | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Aero Star | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Storm the Streets | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Li’l Lang | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Unbroken Chain | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Camm’ Duke | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | King Moonracer | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 98 | Notah | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Bertram F. Bongard S.) – Bertram F. Bongard S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Spirit of New York | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lawyer Mason | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twenty One Red | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cristobal | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Funny Factor | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Black Volt | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Three Thirteen | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Minute by Minute | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Squander | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smitten | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irresistible | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shilling | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Happy Tree | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Sophistication | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Quality Swag | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Everytimeithinkofu | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Vintage Vino | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cuando | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In the Dark | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fateful Lightning | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hellacious | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Disclaimer | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Wicked Improbable | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Snare | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Antietam | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Party With Smarty | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Salvation | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Fiddling Felix | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dark Vector | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fly’n Frisbee | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Capt Jax Parrow | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dialbolico | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Solar Glare | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Messi the Magician | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Arc | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Renew the Blue | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wajda | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Tiote | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Backtrack | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Dot’s Dollar | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Wisdom | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Funny Joke | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | For Some Reason | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Brew Pub | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Neuschwanstein | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dads Good Runner | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beachwalker | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Concorde Spirit | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sin Nombre | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Prince of Joy | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Catire Vizcaya | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Winter Memories S.) – Winter Memories S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | May Day Ready | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Decadent | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready for Candy | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Paradise City | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Scarlet Sands | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sea To Sky (IRE) | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Griselda (FR) | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ruth | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Kay Cup | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Trail of Gold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Opulent Restraint (IRE) | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Vettriano | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Worthy Charge | 1.40 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Zippy Mark | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Caldo Candy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Re Markably | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Makes Sense | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vekoma Rides | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chileno | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Indy Magic | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Joey Muscles | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hangover Heaven | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Disco Star | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yougottahavehope | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Turriga | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tralee Girl | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sinead | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Quick Power Nap | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Last Knock | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Roagna | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Bourbon | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dream On Cara | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Princess Becca | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Just One More | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Saratoga Snow | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Professor Grace | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | On a Summer Day | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Addagirl Addie | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bank On Bebe | 30.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Heavens Lee | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tizallmine | 50.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vietti | 12.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Ashdale | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Alittlebitnaughty | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Princess Summer | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Catholic Edition | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Kissed by Karma | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lady Delilah | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Audemars | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.