Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hit Parade | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Upstart | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beach of Dreams | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Alta Avenue | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I’m a Little Crazy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Faye’s Gold | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stevie Chick’s | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brave Blend | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | First Bid | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Salt Lick | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flyin Ryan | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Odorico | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clear Echo | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rose Alabama | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mezcalifornia | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carolina Candy | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Viral Plane Lady | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Elle | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catchyalater | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | High Summer | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | True Princess | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kavod | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deer District | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Track Mate | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Legalize | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Suncroft | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Market Street | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Sam | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Secretly Delighted | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bohemian | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rain Gold | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strada Del Sogno | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | American Tapit | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Al Taraf | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maverick Queen | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tikihut | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Runway Rebel | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Minstrelly | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Alas | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mendelssohns Comet | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | R Bee Gee | 15.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Island Girl | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kiss My Heart | 20.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stilettos | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Proud | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Impulse Buy | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hollygrove | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Mystique | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shezafunkydrummer | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mila Rose | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anakarina | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Harrods Creek S.) – Harrods Creek S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Smoken Wicked | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Faster Gator | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy’s Dailys | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Semper Primus | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | U Devil You | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Optical | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Seneca Overnight S.) – Seneca Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Immersive | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quickick | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Liam in the Dust | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Decadent | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ivory and Ebony | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Next Up | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flash Wear | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Dogwood S. Presented By Resolute Racing) – Dogwood S. Presented By Resolute Racing
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Echo Sound | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ragtime | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Delightful Claire | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kay Cup | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sturgeon Moon | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strong State | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mega Mil | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gerlin’s Empire | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Bourbon Flight S.) – Bourbon Flight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chunk of Gold | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Admiral Dennis | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Excite | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Brotha Keny | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hypnus | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Just a Fair Shake | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Shot | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Run Quiet Run Fast | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Imminent Risk | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Sneakily | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nonconsecutivetrms | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Vanity | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 14 | 14 | All About You | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Last Curtain Call | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Troienne | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Temple Goddess | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Unlikely Queen | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A. P.’s Girl | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Labile | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rhapsody in Motion | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Starbrite Starlite | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Easter Promise | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Screeched In | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.