Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Alta Avenue | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Upstart | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hit Parade | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I’m a Little Crazy | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Faye’s Gold | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Beach of Dreams | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Stevie Chick’s | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Brave Blend | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Salt Lick | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Odorico | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flyin Ryan | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clear Echo | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | First Bid | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rose Alabama | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | High Summer | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mezcalifornia | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Viral Plane Lady | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Elle | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catchyalater | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | True Princess | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carolina Candy | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Kavod | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deer District | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fort Sam | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Market Street | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Legalize | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Suncroft | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Track Mate | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bohemian | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rain Gold | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strada Del Sogno | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Maverick Queen | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tikihut | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mendelssohns Comet | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Al Taraf | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kiss My Heart | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Island Girl | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alas | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | R Bee Gee | 15.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Runway Rebel | 12.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | American Tapit | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Minstrelly | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Secretly Delighted | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Shezafunkydrummer | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stilettos | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Proud | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moon Mystique | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Hollygrove | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Anakarina | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Impulse Buy | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mila Rose | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Harrods Creek S.) – Harrods Creek S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Smoken Wicked | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Semper Primus | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | U Devil You | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jimmy’s Dailys | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Optical | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Faster Gator | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Seneca Overnight S.) – Seneca Overnight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Immersive | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Liam in the Dust | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Quickick | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ivory and Ebony | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flash Wear | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Decadent | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Next Up | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Dogwood S. Presented By Resolute Racing) – Dogwood S. Presented By Resolute Racing
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ragtime | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Delightful Claire | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Echo Sound | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mega Mil | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sturgeon Moon | 10.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gerlin’s Empire | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Strong State | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kay Cup | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Bourbon Flight S.) – Bourbon Flight S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chunk of Gold | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brotha Keny | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Quiet Run Fast | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hypnus | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Excite | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Admiral Dennis | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Whiskey Shot | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Just a Fair Shake | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Imminent Risk | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nonconsecutivetrms | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sister Troienne | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Vanity | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | A. P.’s Girl | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Temple Goddess | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Unlikely Queen | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Starbrite Starlite | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Rhapsody in Motion | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Labile | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Easter Promise | 30.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Sneakily | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Last Curtain Call | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | All About You | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Screeched In | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.