Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wilburnsclassylady | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Templar Red | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | San Mateo Kat | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cashmere Dancer | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Missingyoucrazy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Viewers Discretion | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Lady | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Slam Diego | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Sweet Charlize | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mola Mia | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tay Tay’s Baby | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Eutychia | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chasing Shadows | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blaze On | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Supercents | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slick City Girl | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Miz Rithym | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Shopping Accident | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Coinmaker | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tura Lura | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gee She’s Fancy | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Beau Soleil | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bendelene | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Regal Rumor | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tell Me When | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cajun Doll | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shawk’s Lil Mia | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Our Dream Rye’d | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sixhoofsevenhoof | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dbook | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Cloudy Past | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pass Line | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Structured | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ambiguous | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cupid’s Thunder | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wrinkle Road | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whiskey With You | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Red Devil | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | In Open Court | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ready | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | C W Charm | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cueca | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Catale Winemixer | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Okie | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Inca Code | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Momacya | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gift of Grace | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Might Be Trouble | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gospel Lois | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Popularity | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Justalittlepicky | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shake That Thing | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Six Gun Sally | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gospel Judy | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sooner Red | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lace Face | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Elvis | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Okie Bandit | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Love U Father | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Derby Day | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Title Talk | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Photoshopped | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shelley’s Secret | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Town Gold | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Apollo Rising | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ze’bul | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chaperone | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cashmeup | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Texas Creed | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justice Department | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stoney Brick Road | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ninia | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Letta’s Legacy | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bling It to Me | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Go Purple | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dulcia | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nancy Lynn | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Phunk | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Ray D. | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | My Kinda Trouble | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Now Hear This | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lady Crush | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.