Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sans Dancer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Splash of Bourbon | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Beau Pink | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hurricane Amelia | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nakedintheforest | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Daddy’s Secret | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rarified (IRE) | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Episode | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brittany’s Way | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Scary Speedy | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Foresters Exec | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Go Gemma | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Gretna Green | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Suigu Belle | 1.60 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty Good Joke | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dancetotherhythm | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cheat the Devil | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kimberlina | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Daou | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Red Dragon | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Daddy’s Lil Chef | 10.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hot Stuff Baby | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Henna Gal | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clear Position | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ya No | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sweet Ofelia | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chancel | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mehlek | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sammy Stone | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Laughing Out Loud | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Good Sin | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Our Flag Flying | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | She Reigns | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dunmore Beach | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Alluring Amy | 3.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Piper’s Gift | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divinely Inspired | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Stroke of Genius | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ava’s Princess | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Live Each Day | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tequilasoupernova | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crumlin Fashion | 6.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cupids Best Arrow | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Song | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Monty’s Inn | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Florida Vacation | 20.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wild Red | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dazzling Cruiser | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Onehotmess | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Ready | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Celebrity Ro | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keytothepark | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orient Beach | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tap My Desire | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ginger Zip | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Durham Cup S.) – Durham Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paramount Prince | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dresden Row | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Playmea Tune | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Classic Mo Town | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Loose Wire | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Skyro | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cool Kiss | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Journeyman | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hurricane Gizmo | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moventothecountry | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thatsitthatsall | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Serenading Amaya | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sinful Forester | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Take Chances | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | All for Honor | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Right Brightly | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dancing in Rio | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.