Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chocolatechocolate | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sheer Will | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kate Barry | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Snide | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gouldian | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Darty Time | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Smallchangegeep | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Coco Sun | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | God Given | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carlin Contention | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Uncle Barrie | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dominican Thunder | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kaz Ice Changer | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lavender Disaster | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Big Calhouna | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Golden Degree | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roswell | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maggy’s Palace | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Khali Magic | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luna Moth | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Maggie T | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Killy Start | 1.40 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Floge | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Book of Wisdom | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Lao | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mursal | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Speak Softly | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ghostly Girl | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | April Antics | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Just So Pretty | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bint Al Dandy (IRE) | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Private Property (IRE) | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Fast Market | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Time Stone | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mystic Sea | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Magic (IRE) | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Marital Trust | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blackfin (IRE) | 3.50 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pay the Bills (FR) | 50.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Ellesmere Island | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Bourbon Milk Punch | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Trading Strategy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sunday Boy | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sir Walta | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Three Thirteen | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Make a Prediction | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Daisy Doo | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | True Legend | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Snickery | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | B Provocateur | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Genie | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Diamond Life | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Taqueeto Jones | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Alyeska | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mazayaat | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grammy Girl | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Practical Lov | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Racing Colors | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sarir | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Naked Eye | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Senza Parole | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nonna Lynne | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tongue Twister | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Clearwater Beach | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grace and Grit | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sail With the Wind | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bertrille | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bunny Honey | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Honorable Becky | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Backcheck | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Capital Gal | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dream On Cara | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cara’s Dreamweaver | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Higher Force | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Velcamp | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Carolannie | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | South Philly Slide | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Choppin Brockley | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Luciana’s Honor | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mariposa Moon | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kef | 30.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Greyjoy | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | One Bad Habit | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Scorch | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Winrooski | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Beside You | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Alma’s Law | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Zuby | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Gigi Cake’s | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Catholic Vice | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.