Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 21, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Gouldian 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Chocolatechocolate 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sheer Will 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Darty Time 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Kate Barry 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Snide 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Coco Sun 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 God Given 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Uncle Barrie 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Carlin Contention 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Smallchangegeep 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Dominican Thunder 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Kaz Ice Changer 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Khali Magic 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Luna Moth 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Roswell 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 The Big Calhouna 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Maggy’s Palace 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Golden Degree 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lavender Disaster 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 April Antics 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Killy Start 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Mursal 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ghostly Girl 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Maggie T 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Speak Softly 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Floge 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Miss Lao 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Book of Wisdom 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Time Stone 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Just So Pretty 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Marital Trust 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Ellesmere Island 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mystic Sea 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Bourbon Milk Punch 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Fast Market 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Trading Strategy 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Pay the Bills (FR) 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Private Property (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Blackfin (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Big Magic (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Bint Al Dandy (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Diamond Life 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Taqueeto Jones 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 True Legend 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Snickery 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Daisy Doo 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sir Walta 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Three Thirteen 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 B Provocateur 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Make a Prediction 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Genie 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sunday Boy 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Racing Colors 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Grammy Girl 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Sarir 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Alyeska 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Naked Eye 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Senza Parole 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Practical Lov 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Mazayaat 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Capital Gal 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Sail With the Wind 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Dream On Cara 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tongue Twister 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Bertrille 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Bunny Honey 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Clearwater Beach 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Cara’s Dreamweaver 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Nonna Lynne 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Backcheck 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Grace and Grit 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Higher Force 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Honorable Becky 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Scorch 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Greyjoy 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Carolannie 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Luciana’s Honor 0.00 1 2-1
14 14 Winrooski 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 South Philly Slide 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Velcamp 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Beside You 0.00 1 2-1
15 15 Alma’s Law 0.00 1 2-1
16 16 Zuby 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Kef 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Mariposa Moon 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Gigi Cake’s 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Catholic Vice 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Choppin Brockley 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 One Bad Habit 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.