Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 21, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Jus Too Fly 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Elon 5.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 War Humor 4.50 2.2 4-1
8 8 Straight to Water 10.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Takethefifth 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Agent Kelly 20.00 3.5 7-1
3 3 Shear Magic 6.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Blo By’em 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Built by Khozan 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 States United 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Southern District 5.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Morning Thoughts 3.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Lonely Ride 5.00 2.4 4-1
1 1 Pudge Boy Palace 4.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Admit Nothing 4.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Tap the Champagne 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Protective Custody 3.50 3 6-1
4 4 Tellus Mater 2.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Vinalia (GB) 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Awesome McKinzie 10.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Determined Achoti 6.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Langleyswaterfall 30.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Armando R 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mailman Money 4.50 3.3 6-1
5 5 Self Taught 3.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 B Dawk 5.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Storming Chrome 4.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Hay Chief 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 It’s Sizzling Time 20.00 8 15-1
7 7 Master of None 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Nola Boss 1.50 1 2-1
6 6 Zapata (IRE) 20.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Freestanding 12.00 2.4 5-1
7 7 Night Preacher 15.00 2.6 5-1
9 9 Just for the Money 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Transactional (GB) 30.00 3.5 7-1
11 11 Toolpusher 4.50 3.8 7-1
10 10 Moon Factor 6.00 4.5 9-1
3 3 Fear Nothing 30.00 5.7 11-1
12 12 Rennie 10.00 6.4 12-1
8 8 Tough Workout 30.00 6.8 13-1
5 5 Tojo’s Mojo 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Rominski 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Twisted Ride 5.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Radical Right 4.50 5.4 10-1
8 8 Sir Wellington 5.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Heard On Thestreet 6.00 6.1 11-1
4 4 S S Sinatra 10.00 6.6 12-1
2 2 Khozeiress 8.00 6.9 13-1
10 10 Tuskegee Airmen 8.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Karan’s Notion 30.00 9.4 18-1
7 7 Arden’sluckytobe 30.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 D Hopper 10.00 1 2-1
2 2 All Fruits Ripe 6.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Union Thunder 20.00 1.6 3-1
6 6 Royal Renegade 4.50 2.1 4-1
11 11 Blackthorne Brusca 2.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Doug’s Triumph 30.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Royal Flush Hearts 30.00 4.2 8-1
10 10 Bodybuilder 5.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Steeler Nation 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Noble Gem 5.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Edelweiss 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Virginia Fitz 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Noah Chance 3.50 1.6 3-1
8 8 Cactus 3.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Jolly Boss 6.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Watch Out World 12.00 4 8-1
7 7 Claudee Boy 30.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Upsidedown Man 6.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Smitten Enough 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Margaret P 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Sassy Maxine 6.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Nit Witness 1.50 2.1 4-1
5 5 Whiskey Brew 12.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Tasty Time 12.00 6 11-1
3 3 Irish B Goode 3.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Feel the Bolt 30.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.