Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 25, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Best Impression 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Rodeo Star 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Foxy Cara 6.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Brooklyn Dantz 15.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Dolce Sera 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 She’s Complicated 0.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Auroralinna 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Ragtime Sizzle 5.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Belle Cherie 1.60 2.4 4-1
5 5 Going for Glory 15.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Handle On You 5.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Carolina Smokeshow 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Delightful Flame 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Maxaluna 12.00 2.3 4-1
10 10 Hey Cookie 2.50 2.8 5-1
12 12 Kadena 3.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 She’s a Bombshell 10.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 She’s Cool 15.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Gratefully 3.00 6.1 12-1
13 13 Sailaway 8.00 7.3 14-1
1 1 Filly Crystal 6.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Beautiful Crazy 5.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Watdoyousay Jose 6.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Will Not Be Swayed 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Midnightloveaffair 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 World Wide Web 8.00 1 2-1
11 11 The Obliterator 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Mr Browns Town 3.50 4.1 8-1
7 7 You’re Lookin Good 6.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Supreme Good (IRE) 4.50 6 11-1
10 10 Natural Shooter 8.00 6.1 12-1
3 3 Lexington Pike 5.00 7.4 14-1
4 4 French Knight 6.00 7.4 14-1
2 2 Foolish Mortal 20.00 9.2 17-1
8 8 Magnum’s Macrobrst 20.00 10.5 20-1
5 5 Silvadar 10.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Systemic Change 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Rithm Nic 12.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Ridgewood Runner 2.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 Tiger Moon 6.00 3 6-1
2 2 Lost in Rome 12.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Sagamore Mischief 2.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Jackson Heights 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Scorch 4.50 1 2-1
3 3 Winrooski 6.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Never Heather 8.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Gigi Cake’s 10.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Blazing Bridgette 5.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 Zuby 6.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Catholic Vice 15.00 7.4 14-1
10 10 Avery’s Wonderland 12.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Harpy 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Copper Caduceus 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Defining Role 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Certified Loverboy 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Noted 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 Strapped 4.50 3.7 7-1
5 5 Tabeguache 10.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Whittington Park 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Mr. Papagiorgio 3.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Wynstock 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Off Script 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Hello Beauty 6.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Night Jasmine 12.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Iveragh 3.50 5.3 10-1
3 3 Lady Delilah 30.00 5.6 11-1
7 7 Charmeuse 15.00 6.4 12-1
9 9 A. P. Slingshot 30.00 8 15-1
5 5 Sky Low Low 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Starship Pegasus 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Amazing Gracer 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.