Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Best Impression | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rodeo Star | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Foxy Cara | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brooklyn Dantz | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dolce Sera | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | She’s Complicated | 0.60 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Auroralinna | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ragtime Sizzle | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Belle Cherie | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Going for Glory | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Handle On You | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carolina Smokeshow | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Delightful Flame | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Maxaluna | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Hey Cookie | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Kadena | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | She’s a Bombshell | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She’s Cool | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gratefully | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Sailaway | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Filly Crystal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Beautiful Crazy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Watdoyousay Jose | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Will Not Be Swayed | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Midnightloveaffair | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | World Wide Web | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | The Obliterator | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Browns Town | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | You’re Lookin Good | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Supreme Good (IRE) | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Natural Shooter | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lexington Pike | 5.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | French Knight | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Foolish Mortal | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magnum’s Macrobrst | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silvadar | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Systemic Change | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rithm Nic | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ridgewood Runner | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tiger Moon | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lost in Rome | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sagamore Mischief | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Jackson Heights | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Scorch | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Winrooski | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Never Heather | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gigi Cake’s | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Blazing Bridgette | 5.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zuby | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catholic Vice | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Avery’s Wonderland | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Harpy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Copper Caduceus | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Defining Role | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Certified Loverboy | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Noted | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strapped | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tabeguache | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whittington Park | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Papagiorgio | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wynstock | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Off Script | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hello Beauty | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Night Jasmine | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Iveragh | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lady Delilah | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Charmeuse | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | A. P. Slingshot | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sky Low Low | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Starship Pegasus | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Amazing Gracer | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
