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Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, September 25, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dolce Sera 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Foxy Cara 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Brooklyn Dantz 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Best Impression 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 She’s Complicated 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Rodeo Star 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Belle Cherie 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Going for Glory 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Handle On You 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Carolina Smokeshow 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Auroralinna 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ragtime Sizzle 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Filly Crystal 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 She’s Cool 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Kadena 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gratefully 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Beautiful Crazy 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Watdoyousay Jose 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Maxaluna 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Delightful Flame 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 She’s a Bombshell 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Hey Cookie 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Will Not Be Swayed 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Sailaway 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Midnightloveaffair 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Magnum’s Macrobrst 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 You’re Lookin Good 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mr Browns Town 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 The Obliterator 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Silvadar 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lexington Pike 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Natural Shooter 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 French Knight 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 World Wide Web 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Foolish Mortal 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Supreme Good (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sagamore Mischief 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Lost in Rome 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Systemic Change 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Tiger Moon 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Jackson Heights 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Rithm Nic 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Ridgewood Runner 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Blazing Bridgette 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Harpy 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Scorch 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Copper Caduceus 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Avery’s Wonderland 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Winrooski 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Zuby 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Gigi Cake’s 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Defining Role 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Never Heather 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Catholic Vice 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Strapped 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Whittington Park 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tabeguache 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Certified Loverboy 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Wynstock 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Noted 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Mr. Papagiorgio 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hello Beauty 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Charmeuse 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Off Script 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Sky Low Low 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Starship Pegasus 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Iveragh 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Amazing Gracer 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Lady Delilah 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Night Jasmine 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 A. P. Slingshot 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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