Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sivako | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bobby Brinkley | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brother Reid | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rodeo Champ | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Skipper’s Pride | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cinco Richie | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gabarra | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit of Spoatie | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | No Trouble | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | City Ghost | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rock Star Parking | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mamashavnahotflash | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Charmonte | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Icy River | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Paula M | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | All Aflutter | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Let Her Buck | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dress Rehearsal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chrome Baby | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ethical Judgement | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Red Summerbird | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Miami Moonlight | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | I Am Grodd | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a Cowboy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Royalamerican | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Down Periscope | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | A Wild Posse | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Okie | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King of Samurai | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leavenodoubt | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pontotoc | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Regal Terka | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imua Kai | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | News At Nine | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lloyds Logic | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coffee Caliente | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Okie Smoke | 4.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Dawn | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Woman’s Intuition | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Avalon Girl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pondicherry | 15.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Little Rag Doll | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Writ | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Villainy | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | R Two R Badbaker | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Daretocatchlove | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | R Two R Badfit | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Let Your Love Show | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Closdatgate | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Twelve Volt | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Derby Date | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Stans Home Run | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Johnny Appleseed | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tigers ‘n Bears | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Clements Ride | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Barefoot Samurai | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kick It Again Bob | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Royally | 12.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hamazing Wisdom | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Two Worlds | 30.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Noise Complaint | 20.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Jack | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Major Griffin | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Roman Giant | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ship of Dreams | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runaway Okie | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Everyone Nos Wendy | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amarona Sioux | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Total Insanity | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Eye Super Fly | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ship Her West | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tiz a Knockout | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wishful Winker | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Powerwashed | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Joyful Image | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Wilhelmina | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Subject | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Let’sgojlo | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Oh My Vron | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Holy Ama | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Our Girl Flint | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stir Up Desire | 30.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vaquera | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.