Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bobby Brinkley | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rodeo Champ | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brother Reid | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sivako | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Trouble | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gabarra | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Skipper’s Pride | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spirit of Spoatie | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cinco Richie | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | City Ghost | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rock Star Parking | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Charmonte | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mamashavnahotflash | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Icy River | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Paula M | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Let Her Buck | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dress Rehearsal | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | All Aflutter | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Chrome Baby | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ethical Judgement | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miami Moonlight | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Red Summerbird | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m a Cowboy | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Am Grodd | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Royalamerican | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A Wild Posse | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Down Periscope | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cool Okie | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King of Samurai | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pontotoc | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Leavenodoubt | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Regal Terka | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Imua Kai | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kentucky Dawn | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Okie Smoke | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | News At Nine | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Coffee Caliente | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lloyds Logic | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Avalon Girl | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Villainy | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Woman’s Intuition | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Let Your Love Show | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | R Two R Badfit | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | R Two R Badbaker | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Little Rag Doll | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Irish Writ | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pondicherry | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Daretocatchlove | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Closdatgate | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Derby Date | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Twelve Volt | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tigers ‘n Bears | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kick It Again Bob | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Johnny Appleseed | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Hamazing Wisdom | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Barefoot Samurai | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Royally | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stans Home Run | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Roman Giant | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Major Griffin | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Noise Complaint | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Clements Ride | 20.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Worlds | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Captain Jack | 30.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Runaway Okie | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ship of Dreams | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ship Her West | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Everyone Nos Wendy | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Amarona Sioux | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Eye Super Fly | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Total Insanity | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Powerwashed | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Joyful Image | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Royal Subject | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tiz a Knockout | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Oh My Vron | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Let’sgojlo | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wishful Winker | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queen Wilhelmina | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Holy Ama | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Our Girl Flint | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vaquera | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stir Up Desire | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.