Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Reno | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Decapo | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mescalero | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kiddo Light | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Joe’s Candy | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flaubert | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Step It Out (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exington | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Rider | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Life | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Mihiel | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Girlcanthelpit | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Umbralle | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Surfin’ U. S. A. | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ramayana | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kizazi | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Essential Lady | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Darlin’ Duchess | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cosmo Friday | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Atina Liz | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Kitten in Charge | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Seager Man | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Whats the Buzz | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spiritist | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Robarando | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Excessive Thievery | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uplift | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Double Bay (IRE) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justivar | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Church Lady (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Without a Pout (IRE) | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eastwick | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silver Flirt | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Musical Song | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Godavri | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fly At Knight | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Big A’s Little One | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Newport Dreamz | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jennys Wine Girl | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | West Fresno | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dramaticattraction | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dixie’s Delight | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Turkey Bird | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 98 | Quick Omen | 0.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 8 | Lady Gregory | 1.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 6 | Willow Cove | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 9 | Brookys Gal | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Magical Miss | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Freya | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 7 | Press Your Luck | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rizzleberry Rose | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Wildcat | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Amanda Rose | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mystic Flyer | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saqeel | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Austonian | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Upstart Yankee | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Spin | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Come Out Fighting | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Palisades | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sunset Storm | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rehearsal (IRE) | 1.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thea | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Infinity Dream | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Strawberry Tizzy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildfire Princess | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gladly | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Caitlin Fever | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Nakota (IRE) | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.