Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, September 27, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Igniter 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Forever Man 6.00 1.7 3-1
1 1 Ima Big Bad Wolf 4.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Courting 3.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Buntus Foclora 12.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Rebel Instinct 6.00 6.1 11-1
8 8 Dionysus 12.00 7.9 15-1
5 5 Missing Brian 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hours in a Day 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Ride Up 4.50 1.2 2-1
7 7 Heavyweight Champs 3.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Epitaph 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Badlands Ruler 20.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 First Trumpet 10.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Knox 20.00 7.1 13-1
8 8 Turbo 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Hurricane Nelson 2.50 1 2-1
6 6 Treaty Obligation 3.50 5 10-1
2 2 Ignite the Light 3.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Locke and Key 4.50 5.3 10-1
7 7 Exploration 8.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Shadow Dragon 8.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Eliminate 8.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Belmont Turf Sprint S.) – Belmont Turf Sprint S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Twenty Six Black 1.80 1 2-1
4 4 Alogon 3.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Dancing Buck 6.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Senbei 3.50 2.4 5-1
6 6 Bold Journey 8.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Run Curtis Run 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Live High Live Low 12.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Acoustic Ave 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Joe Hirsch Turf Classic S.) – Joe Hirsch Turf Classic S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Far Bridge 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rebel’s Romance (IRE) 1.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Redistricting (GB) 3.50 2.4 4-1
4 4 Rebel Red (GB) 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 El Cordobes (IRE) 3.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Bank Frenzy 1.20 SCRATCH
7 7 Le Gris 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Woodward S.) – Woodward S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Phileas Fogg 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Locked 1.80 1.3 2-1
2 2 Post Time 3.50 1.4 3-1
4 4 Film Star 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Awesome Aaron 12.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Gould’s Gold 10.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Willy D’s 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Cosmic Candy Girl 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Atenea 6.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Livin the Breeze 3.00 6.7 13-1
10 10 Considerate City 4.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 My Boston Beauty 12.00 7.8 15-1
12 12 Mia Sophia 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Spectacular Belle 12.00 9.5 18-1
5 5 Starship Ava 12.00 9.7 18-1
1 1 Amicus Curiae 20.00 10.1 19-1
2 2 Ryan Elizabeth 20.00 10.3 19-1
11 11 Valiant Diva 15.00 10.5 20-1
7 7 Solemn Beauty 20.00 10.8 20-1
13 13 Zelena 15.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Rose Lisa 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Magic in My Eyes 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Factory Setting 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Gallant Bloom S.) – Gallant Bloom S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Senza Parole 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 R Disaster 3.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Impel 6.00 3.4 7-1
6 6 All Class 10.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Sterling Silver 3.50 3.9 7-1
3 3 Patricia Ann 20.00 5.6 10-1
4 4 Scalable 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Street View 15.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Sunday Girl 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Vosburgh S. Presented By Army Mule) – Vosburgh S. Presented By Army Mule

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Scotland 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Doc Sullivan 6.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Nash 6.00 2.3 4-1
9 9 Crazy Mason 3.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Patriot Spirit 5.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Light the Way 20.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Baby Yoda 6.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 The Golden Gorilla 20.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Super Chow 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Isle of Capri 3.00 1 2-1
3 3 Girls Rock 5.00 4 7-1
6 6 Leslie’s Humor 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Cynane 4.00 5.8 11-1
10 10 Soloshot 12.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Upon a Star 4.50 7.1 13-1
2 2 Jackie the Joker 30.00 9.2 17-1
9 9 Thirteen Red Flags 30.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Toasted Roll 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Talkin in Cursive 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Despo’s Dream 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Sporting Lady 15.00 SCRATCH
13 13 With the Angels 1.60 SCRATCH
5 5 Thiene (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Dear Dad 12.00 1 2-1
9 9 Exact Estimate 3.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Final Verdict 12.00 3.2 6-1
12 12 Victory Way 5.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 General Jim 3.50 4.1 8-1
4 4 Highestdistinction 10.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Magical Ways 12.00 6.9 13-1
11 11 Ruse 20.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Kuchar 50.00 7.7 15-1
6 6 Judge Davis 10.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Retouch (FR) 6.00 9.1 17-1
16 16 Contrary Thinking 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Worthington 50.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Dr. Kraft 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Get a Job 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cool Intentions 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Hot Currency 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Absolute Smoke 4.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Harpy 12.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Letmecounttheways 4.00 5 9-1
13 13 Tiza Smokeshow 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Morning Prayer 6.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Great Happenings 20.00 6.1 12-1
15 15 Italianne 15.00 6.2 12-1
10 10 No Need to Panic 15.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Liberty’s Secret 15.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 My Lil Army Girl 20.00 6.8 13-1
8 8 Banco Di Sicilia 30.00 8.7 16-1
2 2 Lake Ariel 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Cupid’s Choice 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Giovanna Marie 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.