Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Proudly Hailed (GB) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shot Gun Shack | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | D Bigalow | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shellac | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Game Day | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trouble Time | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Top Gun Tommy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Princip | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | American Outlaw | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | J J’s Joker | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Penrod | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Liltonytwophones | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Five o’ Somewhere | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Quarry | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outlaw Empire | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Props | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chuck’s Law | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | No Hay Dos | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Politics | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. J | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gamblers Tail | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Racing Driver | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Excel Calculator | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | La Houligan | 5.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | What’s Up Doc | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Askari | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Iron Sharpens Iron | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Solid Left | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Googol Joke | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Curvino | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Americathegreat | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Kentucky Belle | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Touch of Magic | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Just Singing | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Interview | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Josie Joe | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | River Rise | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Atropa | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shot At Perfection | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dreaming of June | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Banker’s Jet | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Black Hornet | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Blue Mountains | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Way Beyond | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Emancipation | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Treblewiththecurve | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 14 | 14 | McFasty | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wolfcamp | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Miskell | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fuoco Vivo | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Eleos | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chicanery | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Noahs Pride | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Free Choice | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mo Expectations | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Scattitude | 4.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Next Up | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Treasure | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Sunshine | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | She’s Got Will | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Drop the Hammer | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Table Flirt | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pretty Sassy | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mean Eileen | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wandering Kirby | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Ack Ack S.) – Ack Ack S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Most Wanted | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indispensable | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Will Take It | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tumbarumba | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | This Is Uscar | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Who Dey | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Technique | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Surly Furious | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Perfect Shot | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Standoutsensation | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pigalle | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Legadema | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Neon Icon | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cat’s Cave | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rose Palace | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Non Violence | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | In Just My Heels | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Everland | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gran Mirella (ARG) | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Lukas Classic S.) – Lukas Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mystik Dan | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Banishing | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hit Show | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Disarm | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rattle N Roll | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Willy D’s | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince of Power | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Revel Toast | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sway House | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | New Diva | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lolly Poppin | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tactical Command | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Justifiable Steel | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smokin Hot Stuff | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frosty for Ever | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Firebird Suite | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sister Wife | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nanzig | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.