Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Della Terra |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Naturally Blonde |
3.50 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tiger of the Sea |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mendelssohns Angel |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pavel’s Etoile |
10.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Dialing Destiny |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mia Pia |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
11 |
11 |
Sparta F. C. |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Sally’s Wish |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
4 |
4 |
Surfin Candy |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Cash’s Candy |
30.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Miracle Mark |
2.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ghost of Midnight |
2.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Grubauer |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Berlin Wall |
4.50 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Code Duello |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lawless World |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Cashed |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Jacklyn Lucas |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Billie Holiday |
4.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Final Table Lady |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cash in Toknight |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Tammy Baby |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (City Of Hope Mile S.) – City Of Hope Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Johannes |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Almendares (GB) |
3.00 |
1.5 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Final Boss |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cabo Spirit |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Zio Jo |
10.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Scoobie Quando |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Provenance |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Army Man |
3.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rio Grande |
3.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Plagarist |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Work |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
American King |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (John Henry Turf Championship S.) – John Henry Turf Championship S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Gold Phoenix (IRE) |
1.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Stay Hot |
2.50 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mondego (GB) |
4.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Rastaman Vibe |
5.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Dicey Mo Chara (GB) |
10.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Spycatcher |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Balladeer |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Devil Among Us |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Four O Six Creed |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hot Box |
4.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Ballyvaughan Gig |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Supernal |
5.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tiger in My Tank |
6.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Raging Waters |
10.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kahuna Magic |
12.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Major Tom |
50.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Eddie D S.) – Eddie D S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Reef Runner |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Yellow Card |
3.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
First Peace |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Nesso’s Lastharrah |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sorrento Sky (IRE) |
5.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Beyond Brilliant |
6.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Kale’s Angel |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Mucho Del Oro |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Goodwood S.) – Goodwood S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
First Mission |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Full Serrano (ARG) |
2.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
3 |
3 |
Privman |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gaming |
6.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Ultimate Gamble |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nevada Beach |
12.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Express Train |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (John C. Harris S.) – John C. Harris S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Warming |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Tight Squeeze |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Innovative |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Casalu |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
11 |
11 |
Wink and a Grin |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
8 |
8 |
Favor to You |
6.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Eiffel |
8.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
13 |
13 |
Miso Phansy |
12.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Lee’s Baby Girl |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Schilflied |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
2 |
2 |
Practical Dream |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
10 |
10 |
A Thousand Miles |
50.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
7 |
7 |
Donttellourwives |
50.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.