Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 28, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Last Man Standing 1.00 1 2-1
2 2 Nantz 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 My Man Magoo 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Cyberbeast 15.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Down the Line 30.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Daytona Moonshine 30.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Remember the Chief 15.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Noguchi 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Echo in Eternity 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 My First Love 12.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Lika Rolling Stone 12.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Whistler’s Style 5.00 2.4 4-1
5 5 Shezanarcticqueen 30.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 She Makes a Point 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Brzina 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Problematica 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Fully Subscribed 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Scarlett’s Halo 5.00 2.3 4-1
2 2 Points Is Points 3.00 4.2 8-1
6 6 Danzit 3.50 4.4 8-1
1 1 Whocouldaskformo 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Coquito 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Walk With Me 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Waitin’onasunnyday 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Exhibition Only 10.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Glorious Boy 10.00 5.8 11-1
1 1 Dinghy Bar 5.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Tactics 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 The Last Page 4.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 One Last Bullet 15.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Grumblyrumhogan 8.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Ogilvy (IRE) 6.00 7.4 14-1
8 8 Brass Nucks 20.00 8.6 16-1
11 11 Hong Kong Phooey 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Artistic Success 5.00 1 2-1
13 12 War Siren (FR) 8.00 2 4-1
2 2 Competitive Threat (IRE) 3.50 2.3 4-1
11 10 Tuck Check 10.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Sassy Princess 8.00 6.2 12-1
12 11 Broadway Lights 15.00 6.6 12-1
6 6 Blame the Banker 8.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Stamp of Approval 12.00 7 13-1
4 4 Turf Rocket 10.00 7 13-1
9 9 Aviso 12.00 9.2 17-1
7 7 Bedford the Brave 12.00 9.5 18-1
8 8 Victoria’s Dancer 12.00 9.8 19-1
14 13 Cararra 8.00 SCRATCH
10 98 Luckforyou 0.00 SCRATCH
16 15 Adrian 5.00 SCRATCH
15 14 Sight to See 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Max Money 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 Combat Mission 5.00 4.6 9-1
11 11 Fourth and One 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Power Speed 6.00 6.1 12-1
8 8 Diamond Life 15.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Bravaro 5.00 8 15-1
9 9 George’s Gold 12.00 8.4 16-1
10 10 The Toy Cannon 6.00 8.6 16-1
2 2 Kaz Dominator 10.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Tuscan Thunder 20.00 9.4 18-1
6 6 Charlie Hustle 20.00 9.5 18-1
12 12 Pure Mischief 30.00 9.6 18-1
14 14 Wamo 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Mission Critical 20.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Pride of the Union 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 All About You 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Connect the Stars 5.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Fancy Footwork 4.50 3 6-1
4 4 Concurrently 6.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Jadorlinija 6.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Chartist 10.00 7.9 15-1
10 10 Believable 6.00 8 15-1
8 8 Asking 12.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Noisetomakenoise 20.00 8.9 17-1
7 7 Appreciatively 20.00 9.3 18-1
6 6 Light de Night 30.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Gio Ponti S.) – Gio Ponti S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Candytown 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Magic Pathway 5.00 1.9 4-1
1 1 Church and State 8.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Capitol Hill 2.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Salamis 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Griffin’s Wharf 6.00 4 7-1
3 3 X Y Prime 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Snookie Bear 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Deemer 1.40 1 2-1
7 7 I Can See That 5.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Lets Fight 4.50 2.8 5-1
9 9 Lucky Dragon 15.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Arch’s Assault 8.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Blue Pill 30.00 6.3 12-1
10 10 Inspeightofcharlie 12.00 6.4 12-1
11 11 Sunshine Dancer 15.00 6.5 12-1
6 6 Solo Dancing 15.00 7.6 14-1
3 3 Dominican Pirate 30.00 7.7 14-1
1 1 Scotia Bob 20.00 8.5 16-1
12 12 Sol the Frank 50.00 9.5 18-1
13 13 Wind Dancer 15.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.