Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 2, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Caitlins Threes 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Peace of Gold 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Rest Ashore 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Rouge Grandeur 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Coola Boola 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tapit Back 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Oscar Bound 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Jubilee Parade 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Copa de Plata 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Kaz Brio 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Capo Di Tutti 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Glavine 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Omaha Storm 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bold Statement 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Bellamy 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Jet Off 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Underbidder 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Celestial Glaze 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Notah 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tahoe Sunrise 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Flying Liam 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Mighty Atlas 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Crushed It 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Free Dance 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tarpaulin 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Senior Lender 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Oban 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Chambersville 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Special Envoy 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fleet N Ready 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Epic Desire 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Phnom Penh 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Stream It 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Dynadee 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Gaborone 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Behold the King 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Matron S.) – Matron S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Believe in Magic 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Oscar’s Encore 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Final Accord 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Royal Testament 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Should’ve 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Snappy Comeback 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Valala 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Y’allreadyforthis 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 Catalonia 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Just Philtored 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Snow Face Princess 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Bella Knows 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Gatsby 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Graywing 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fitzpatrick 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Honorary Degree 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Gun Maestro 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Master of Arms 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Forgiving Spirit 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Rabbit Hound 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Manta Rey 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Allamericanbeauty 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Brocknardini 0.00 1 2-1
8 8 Grayosh 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Tour Jete 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Fantasy Performer 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Temple City Taboo 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Avenue Niel (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Immensitude (FR) 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Fun With Flags (IRE) 0.00 1 2-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Purest Performance 0.00 1 2-1
10 10 In Fact Sheza Zask 0.00 1 2-1
11 11 Froghollowsummer 0.00 1 2-1
12 12 Stormy Central 0.00 1 2-1
3 3 Fifi La Fume 0.00 1 2-1
9 9 Bourbon Slip 0.00 1 2-1
13 13 Rare Society 0.00 1 2-1
6 6 Argentiera 0.00 1 2-1
1 1 Garden of Grace 0.00 1 2-1
7 7 Amelia 0.00 1 2-1
5 5 Five Dozen Roses 0.00 1 2-1
4 4 Deflection Point 0.00 1 2-1
2 2 Tahila 0.00 1 2-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.