Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Saline River | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carlea’s Dream | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sonic Posse | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Coastal Brink | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mandolin Wind | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aaron | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Excaping the Blues | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Double Rap | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Talker | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Double R Cat | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gospel Journey | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | El Gato Americano | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flat Be Judged | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chahta Citizen | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gospel Don | 4.50 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Di Risata Molto | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Pierre | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Very Unlikely | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rockitretta | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moon Crater | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Methods | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hakuhia | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light a Shuck | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maui Mistress | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Presleys Turn | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caleb’s Candy | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Go West | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pass Line | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunday Bling | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Threefiftyseven | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roman Giant | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | R D C Posse | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sr. Bi Bi | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’m a Cowboy | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Playing Hardball | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Kick It Again Bob | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wow That’s Hot | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kitty Code | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moneyline | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gold Prize | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Rango | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Down the Islands | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Withering Gaze | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Riding Double | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gold Front | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Perp Walk | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rockets Red Flair | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Devious Lover | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shaggy Edge | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Texan Farmer | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | County Judge | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Major Griffin | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Risky With Whiskey | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lucy’s Halo | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Gospel Cess | 8.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | That Was Easy | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Luck Is a Lady | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Code | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dontcallitacomebak | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lucked Out | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shesabitsnakey | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sanoviv | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eurpurdy | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saddle Mountain | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carat Seeker | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | No Trouble | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Imperial Gun | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Go Boss | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ze’bul | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Inca Empire | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Hot Gunner | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Expect a Patriot | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Eagle Vision | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Deadly Beauty | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Canoga | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cashout Carol | 20.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Demotion | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bling’s Artwork | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vianney’s Love | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jerry’s Lady | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coded Kiss | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Feelinluckytonight | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Jet Pack | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.