Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 3, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Soundbite 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Ready for Trouble 1.80 2 4-1
3 3 Pens Street 6.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Luna Moth 3.50 3.4 6-1
1 1 Sweetest Princess 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 98 Willow Bend 0.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Private Property (IRE) 4.00 1 2-1
5 5 Galatina 6.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Classic Cara 10.00 4 8-1
1 1 New Attitude (IRE) 5.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Bolt House 3.00 6.8 13-1
3 3 Unlimited Spending (JPN) 1.80 7.3 14-1
4 4 Katerina Ristova 50.00 7.7 15-1
9 9 Fire Agate 8.00 8.3 16-1
2 2 Bengalese 30.00 9.1 17-1
10 10 Tafaany 30.00 11.9 23-1
14 14 Here’syourtrouble 4.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Day Away 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Paraiba Blue 50.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Silver Pearls 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Snide 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Dettori 8.00 1 2-1
7 7 Salvation 12.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Roger Roger 8.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Time to Win 0.80 3.6 7-1
8 8 Apalta 5.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Fiddling Felix 15.00 5 9-1
1 1 Icemaker 12.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Copious 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Filly Crystal 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Maxaluna 4.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Catchphrase 2.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Bam’s Bliss Kiss 12.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 La Grotte 8.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Moonlit Weekend 12.00 7.9 15-1
2 2 Fuligni 15.00 8.6 16-1
1 1 Dolce Sera 15.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Danneel 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 My Sherrona 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Toes 8.00 1.1 2-1
9 9 Key Actress 8.00 2.9 5-1
13 13 Cleopatra’s Key 4.50 3 6-1
8 8 Bourbon Milk Punch 6.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Divine Rose 15.00 4 7-1
3 3 Pinch of Bourbon 20.00 7.1 13-1
7 7 Just Jules 10.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 Ellesmere Island 6.00 8 15-1
12 12 Tight Line 5.00 8 15-1
10 10 Laylani Lou 15.00 9 17-1
11 11 Putonahappyface 30.00 9.7 18-1
6 6 Via Veneto 10.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Holding Company 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Futurity S.) – Futurity S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Intricate Spirit 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Longshoreman 8.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Channel the Music 12.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Belgian 3.50 5.2 10-1
5 5 Expressway 10.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Attfield 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Outfielder 2.50 SCRATCH
8 8 No Pressure (IRE) 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Harmonique 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Filly Freedom 3.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Stone Cold Kelly 20.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 Trading Strategy 4.50 3.6 7-1
1 1 Metfardeh 2.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Relevate 5.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Alidade 15.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Secret Journey 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Pilgrim S.) – Pilgrim S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Capital Partner (GB) 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Noble Dynasty 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Baytown Dreamer 30.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Heeere’s Johnny 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Bottas 2.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Teleport (IRE) 12.00 7 13-1
11 11 Let’s Be Frank 10.00 7.3 14-1
5 5 Truman’s Commander 30.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Scope 10.00 7.6 14-1
1 1 Ball of Fire 20.00 8.2 15-1
10 10 Repentless 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Sassy Sats 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Bouquetry 15.00 1.8 3-1
1 1 Maria Callas 4.00 1.9 4-1
12 12 Saint Margaret 2.50 3.2 6-1
4 4 Joyful Dancer 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Island Charm 4.50 4.9 9-1
5 5 Copper Caduceus 12.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 Dancinwiththeboys 20.00 8.1 15-1
10 10 Crush 20.00 8.4 16-1
3 3 Kreesa’s Best Day 20.00 8.6 16-1
6 6 Intothewilderness 20.00 9 17-1
14 14 Hanna’s Hideaway 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Grit N Glitter 3.50 SCRATCH
16 16 Lady Rose 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Raynham Hall 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Encantar 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.