Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sheer Will | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Laughing Lady | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Here’syourtrouble | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sabby Sunset | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Katie King | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stormy Central | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gracie Girl | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alyvia Mavis | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Snide | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Discovery S.) – Discovery S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Rated by Merit | 0.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uncaged | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wise Up | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dreambuilder | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light Forever | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sittin Chilly | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Leading Role | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Booted Up | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Smilensaycheese | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Plate | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tapwrits Temper | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Henry’s Hope | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Zakat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Jockey Club Derby Invitational S.) – Jockey Club Derby Invitational S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hill Road | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noble Confessor | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crudo | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Game Warrior | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Asbury Park (GB) | 2.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Bourbon for Toby | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hammerhead | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Devilish Grin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pan Pan | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sparkling Mama | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | River Empress | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Salt Princess | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rose Lisa | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Princess Celine | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Karey | 15.00 | 9.3 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Irtiqaa | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Defining Role | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Smiling Rosie | 30.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Last Call Jenna | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Probable Choice | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Mappy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Hidden Rose | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Great Actress | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Frizette S.) – Frizette S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Iron Orchard | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chopsticks | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rileytole | 30.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Steer Clear | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Lovely Christina | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Carmel Coast | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jetty’s Home | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Five Bars | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Icecreamforevryone | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rina’s Revenge | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Secane | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Champagne S.) – Champagne S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Curtain Call | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Just Asap | 12.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Aye Eye | 15.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stradale | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | It’s Our Time | 1.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Napoleon Solo | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Talkin | 5.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stickupwithoutagun | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Universe | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Miss Grillo S.) – Miss Grillo S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Deep Learning | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Quiet Street | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Day to Day | 20.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Miss Picky | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Believe in Magic | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dyna | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ground Support | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fille d’Oro (IRE) | 5.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | El Barrio | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cara’s Dreamchaser | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Boomington | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rose Room | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Miss Call | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Caradise | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Invasion | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Waralo | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Twisted Filigree | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alder | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Step Forward | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Boltage | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bonus Move | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gaslight Dancer | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Nothing Better | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | My World | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Double Act | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Introubleagain | 15.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dark Assault | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twenty Two Black | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Active Measures | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Concrete Bolt | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nearly | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Risk Tolerance (IRE) | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Gent (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Pass the Hat | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King d’Oro | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Main Beach | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Brit’s Wit | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cuando | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Elbaz (FR) | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Glint | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Middle Market | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Starship Titan | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Get a Job | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Buttah | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | V Cruizer | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Filoso | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Georgia Magic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Layered | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wrigleyville | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Obeissante | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Peak Hype | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | So Darn Pretty (IRE) | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hola Gata | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Phoenix of Wit (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Victoriously | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Luckforyou | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Racing Colors | 50.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Purloin | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Bobby Jean | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Fortuna Mia | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.