Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quick to Charm | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Merry Madison | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crawford | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Get Back Loretta | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sang | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Somerville | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen’s Legacy | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Inordinary | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rockies Balboa | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Au Naturel | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mesquite | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gallivant | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Scuffle | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Rocket | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Local Knowledge | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Commandment | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Project | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Astound | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Modern Ace | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Two Jack | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Outfielder | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Ken | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oscar’s Hope | 1.40 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Sensei | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sometime | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Imagine John | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swung | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rocky Joy | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Monterey Bay | 8.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Tenacious Leader | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | States’ Rights | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Montador | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mc Vay | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carcano | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Mary’s Boy Bolt | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Favorable Scenario | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Enterdadragon | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Atlal | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Write Off Jerry | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Paris Surprise | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Maui Strong | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Global Prosperity | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Anegada | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rookie Card | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tap Into This | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Echo Again | 1.80 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heart Headed | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eglise | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classify | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thoughtthatcounts | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deer District | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kirin | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Woodford S. Presented By Fanduel) – Woodford S. Presented By Fanduel
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Khaadem (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Joe Shiesty | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Arrest Me Red | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Doncho | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Governor Sam | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Outlaw Kid | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Script | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Charcoal | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | World Record | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Thoroughbred Club Of America S.) – Thoroughbred Club Of America S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Zeitlos | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Vahva | 1.40 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Long Neck Paula | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Halina’s Forte | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vodka With a Twist | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taxed | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Praying | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (First Lady S.) – First Lady S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Choisya (GB) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nanda Dea (ARG) | 15.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamic Pricing (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pin Up Betty | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ozara (IRE) | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simply in Front | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Segesta | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Raqiya (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Deep Satin | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Heredia (GB) | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jody’s Pride | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Crevalle d’Oro | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Aussie Girl (IRE) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Special Wan (IRE) | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Simmering (GB) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Great Generation (IRE) | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity) – Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ted Noffey | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Litmus Test | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blackout Time | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diciassette | 20.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Spice Runner | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Dom | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ewing | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Coolmore Turf Mile S.) – Coolmore Turf Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Program Trading (GB) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Diego Velazquez (IRE) | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Brilliant Berti | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Howard Wolowitz | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Epic Ride | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mercante | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rhetorical | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Woodshauna (FR) | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jonquil (GB) | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quatrocento | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Beach Gold | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Donegal Momentum | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Stormforged | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Boonesboro | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Helmet of Will | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Telecaster | 30.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fortius | 4.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Steel Golden | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Liberty Valance | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Circle Me | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heartily | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flash the Magic | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Saint Robert’s Row | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Redemption Hour | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Timberline | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.