Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quick to Charm | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Merry Madison | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Get Back Loretta | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Somerville | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sang | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crawford | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Queen’s Legacy | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Commandment | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Local Knowledge | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gallivant | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mesquite | 6.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Midnight Rocket | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rockies Balboa | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Inordinary | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Astound | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Au Naturel | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Project | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Modern Ace | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Jack | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scuffle | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Outfielder | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oscar’s Hope | 1.40 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Ken | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Imagine John | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Sensei | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Swung | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sometime | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tenacious Leader | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Montador | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rocky Joy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Favorable Scenario | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Write Off Jerry | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | States’ Rights | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Monterey Bay | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Maui Strong | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Atlal | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anegada | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mc Vay | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Paris Surprise | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Mary’s Boy Bolt | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carcano | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Global Prosperity | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Enterdadragon | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Echo Again | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tap Into This | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rookie Card | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eglise | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classify | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heart Headed | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Deer District | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thoughtthatcounts | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kirin | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Woodford S. Presented By Fanduel) – Woodford S. Presented By Fanduel
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Doncho | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | World Record | 3.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Khaadem (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Arrest Me Red | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Governor Sam | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joe Shiesty | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outlaw Kid | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Script | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Charcoal | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Thoroughbred Club Of America S.) – Thoroughbred Club Of America S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Vahva | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Long Neck Paula | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vodka With a Twist | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Zeitlos | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Halina’s Forte | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Praying | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Taxed | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (First Lady S.) – First Lady S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Special Wan (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dynamic Pricing (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Choisya (GB) | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Segesta | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ozara (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Deep Satin | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Simply in Front | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Raqiya (IRE) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Simmering (GB) | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Jody’s Pride | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Aussie Girl (IRE) | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heredia (GB) | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nanda Dea (ARG) | 15.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Crevalle d’Oro | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pin Up Betty | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Great Generation (IRE) | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity) – Claiborne Breeders’ Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ted Noffey | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Dom | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ewing | 4.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Litmus Test | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blackout Time | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Spice Runner | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Diciassette | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Coolmore Turf Mile S.) – Coolmore Turf Mile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Diego Velazquez (IRE) | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Program Trading (GB) | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Woodshauna (FR) | 5.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Howard Wolowitz | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Brilliant Berti | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rhetorical | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Donegal Momentum | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Quatrocento | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Jonquil (GB) | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mercante | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Epic Ride | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Beach Gold | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Heartily | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fortius | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Liberty Valance | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stormforged | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Redemption Hour | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Boonesboro | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Timberline | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Steel Golden | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Helmet of Will | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Circle Me | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Saint Robert’s Row | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Telecaster | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Flash the Magic | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.