Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Glorious Life |
3.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
11 |
11 |
Titanic Thompson |
4.00 |
1.1 |
2-1 |
7 |
7 |
Grazed |
4.50 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
12 |
12 |
Check’s On the Way |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
4 |
4 |
Andtheomofthebrave |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
9 |
9 |
Cullen J |
8.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Midnite Musket |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Frank Bullitt |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Pokerknightatvees |
20.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Otro Mas |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
10 |
10 |
Clever Clover |
30.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gold Council |
50.00 |
12 |
23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Chillingworth S.) – Chillingworth S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Tamara |
1.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
2 |
Silent Law |
3.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chismosa |
3.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
Baela |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Ang N Ash |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (American Pharoah S. Presented By Dk Horse) – American Pharoah S. Presented By Dk Horse
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Desert Gate |
1.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Kristofferson |
1.80 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Civil Liberty |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Intrepido |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Balboa |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Plutarch |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Cuban Confusion (GB) |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Suchet (FR) |
3.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Kansas Cat (ARG) |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
10 |
10 |
Russells Hustle |
6.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Takes Three |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Charge for Gold |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Annan |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Yacowlef (IRE) |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Bet Jafinsafa |
15.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
1 |
1 |
Flashiest |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Southern Melodee |
3.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tommy Norris |
4.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
9 |
9 |
Tamarando Beach |
4.50 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
My Bodacious Boy |
5.00 |
1.4 |
3-1 |
10 |
10 |
Oracle of Paradise |
6.00 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
1 |
1 |
Cruise Home |
8.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Forever Ben |
12.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tiggrrr Whitworth |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Need Mo Diamonds |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kid Kayak |
50.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Falcon Jet |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
5 |
5 |
Honey’s Choice |
4.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
13 |
13 |
Charlie’s Curlin |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
6 |
6 |
Conducted |
4.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Medici |
5.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Azario |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
10 |
10 |
Here’s Some More |
10.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
People Are Talkin |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Classico |
20.00 |
8.6 |
16-1 |
9 |
9 |
Whynotanotherone |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
11 |
11 |
Biggiebiggiebiggie |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
2 |
2 |
Whole Shebang |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
12 |
12 |
Keagman (IRE) |
30.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Ocean Bear |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
1 |
1 |
Can’t Help Myself |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
6 |
6 |
Saul Elliott |
4.50 |
1.6 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fionello |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pavlovian |
6.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Jalisco |
10.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Stay for the Boom |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
8 |
8 |
Fumano’s Magic |
20.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Wreckless Rhett |
30.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Rodeo Drive S.) – Rodeo Drive S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Amber Cascade |
2.50 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Long Ago (GB) |
3.00 |
1.3 |
2-1 |
8 |
8 |
Alpha Bella |
4.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mission of Joy |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Hang the Moon |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Watchtower |
8.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Starry Heavens (IRE) |
10.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Speed Shopper |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Oak Leaf S. Presented By Oak Tree Racing Association) – Oak Leaf S. Presented By Oak Tree Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Explora |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
4 |
4 |
Himika |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
La Wally |
4.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Heaven’s Bolt |
5.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Banzai Betty |
10.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
La Ville Lumiere |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Speakeasy S.) – Speakeasy S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
98 |
Schwarzenegger |
0.00 |
1 |
2-1 |
2 |
1 |
Twilight Delight |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Ventry Strand |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
12 |
11 |
Thirsty Rebel |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Bacio |
6.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
11 |
10 |
Brigante |
8.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
3 |
2 |
Dirty Rich |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
4 |
Later Than Planned (IRE) |
10.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
13 |
12 |
Sendit Mo |
12.00 |
8.2 |
15-1 |
9 |
8 |
Bourbon and Ginger |
15.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
4 |
3 |
Queen Bay |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
7 |
6 |
A. P. Again |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
10 |
9 |
Arkadelphia |
20.00 |
13 |
25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.