Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 4, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Glorious Life 3.50 1 2-1
11 11 Titanic Thompson 4.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Grazed 4.50 1.2 2-1
12 12 Check’s On the Way 5.00 1.4 3-1
4 4 Andtheomofthebrave 6.00 1.6 3-1
9 9 Cullen J 8.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Midnite Musket 15.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Frank Bullitt 15.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Pokerknightatvees 20.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Otro Mas 30.00 7.3 14-1
10 10 Clever Clover 30.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Gold Council 50.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Chillingworth S.) – Chillingworth S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Tamara 1.00 1 2-1
2 2 Silent Law 3.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Chismosa 3.50 2.1 4-1
1 1 Baela 4.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Ang N Ash 10.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (American Pharoah S. Presented By Dk Horse) – American Pharoah S. Presented By Dk Horse

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Desert Gate 1.50 1 2-1
6 6 Kristofferson 1.80 1.2 2-1
4 4 Civil Liberty 5.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Intrepido 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Balboa 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Plutarch 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Cuban Confusion (GB) 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Suchet (FR) 3.50 1.3 2-1
9 9 Kansas Cat (ARG) 5.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Russells Hustle 6.00 2.6 5-1
7 7 Takes Three 8.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Charge for Gold 10.00 4.7 9-1
6 6 Annan 10.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Yacowlef (IRE) 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Big Bet Jafinsafa 15.00 7.4 14-1
1 1 Flashiest 20.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Southern Melodee 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Tommy Norris 4.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Tamarando Beach 4.50 1.3 2-1
5 5 My Bodacious Boy 5.00 1.4 3-1
10 10 Oracle of Paradise 6.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Cruise Home 8.00 2 4-1
7 7 Forever Ben 12.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Tiggrrr Whitworth 15.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Need Mo Diamonds 20.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Kid Kayak 50.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Falcon Jet 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Honey’s Choice 4.00 1.7 3-1
13 13 Charlie’s Curlin 4.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Conducted 4.50 1.9 4-1
4 4 Medici 5.00 2.1 4-1
3 3 Azario 8.00 3.4 6-1
10 10 Here’s Some More 10.00 4.3 8-1
8 8 People Are Talkin 15.00 6.5 12-1
7 7 Classico 20.00 8.6 16-1
9 9 Whynotanotherone 30.00 13 25-1
11 11 Biggiebiggiebiggie 30.00 13 25-1
2 2 Whole Shebang 30.00 13 25-1
12 12 Keagman (IRE) 30.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Ocean Bear 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Can’t Help Myself 3.00 1.2 2-1
6 6 Saul Elliott 4.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Fionello 5.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Pavlovian 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Jalisco 10.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Stay for the Boom 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Fumano’s Magic 20.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Wreckless Rhett 30.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Rodeo Drive S.) – Rodeo Drive S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Amber Cascade 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Long Ago (GB) 3.00 1.3 2-1
8 8 Alpha Bella 4.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Mission of Joy 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Hang the Moon 8.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Watchtower 8.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Starry Heavens (IRE) 10.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Speed Shopper 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Oak Leaf S. Presented By Oak Tree Racing Association) – Oak Leaf S. Presented By Oak Tree Racing Association

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Explora 0.80 1 2-1
4 4 Himika 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 La Wally 4.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Heaven’s Bolt 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Banzai Betty 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 La Ville Lumiere 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Speakeasy S.) – Speakeasy S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 98 Schwarzenegger 0.00 1 2-1
2 1 Twilight Delight 3.00 2.8 5-1
6 5 Ventry Strand 4.50 3.7 7-1
12 11 Thirsty Rebel 5.00 4 8-1
8 7 Bacio 6.00 4.6 9-1
11 10 Brigante 8.00 5.8 11-1
3 2 Dirty Rich 10.00 7 13-1
5 4 Later Than Planned (IRE) 10.00 7 13-1
13 12 Sendit Mo 12.00 8.2 15-1
9 8 Bourbon and Ginger 15.00 10 19-1
4 3 Queen Bay 20.00 13 25-1
7 6 A. P. Again 20.00 13 25-1
10 9 Arkadelphia 20.00 13 25-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.