Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sobiech | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | C C Athena | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Black Hawk Eagle | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hurricane Amelia | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wunhappy Wabbit | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whiskey Over Wine | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Armino | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arrakasta Izan | 6.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Glorious Revenge | 20.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Run Matteo Run | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Professor Reload | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Earning My Ears | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ginger’s Holiday | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Highland Peak | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carrick On Stage | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Classic Discovery | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Time | 3.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Golden Goose | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Harvest | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Contrary Mary | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Winning Agenda | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Trip Aces | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Paradise Perfect | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pocket Speed | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scuderia | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silent Strike | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sluggernaut | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Factor | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Nearctic S. Presented By The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance) – Nearctic S. Presented By The Thoroughbred Aftercare Alliance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Strikin Viking (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bring Theband Home | 0.40 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Nobals | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | No Nay Hudson (IRE) | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Light the Lamp | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Western Whirl | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Its Time to Shine | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Peja Du | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jim’s Hope | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Volcanic | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hemlo Gold | 4.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mad Dog N Joe | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prince of Thieves | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Really Good | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sailor’s Passion | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Galley Head | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lois Len | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hard to Capture | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Voice From Above | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ondine Lady | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Iron Pyrite | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Candid Candace | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Dynamic Strike | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kikitsa | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Very Savvy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Holiday With Amy | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hay Hay Paula | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Domer Allure | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Bet365 Dance Smartly S.) – Bet365 Dance Smartly S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Caitlinhergrtness | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Breath Away (GB) | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Distant Winter (SAF) | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready for Shirl | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Five Towns (GB) | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hope Mission | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mo Fox Givin | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hurricane Clair | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Queens Command (IRE) | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Canadian International S.) – Canadian International S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | My Boy Prince | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silawi (IRE) | 12.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Haunted Dream (IRE) | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nations Pride (IRE) | 1.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tawny Port | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Raptor’s (BRZ) | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Roscar | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tosen Wish (IRE) | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dancin in Da’nile | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | English Actor | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jayhawk | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Possiblemente | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Map’s a Breeze | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Westside Tide | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Fighter in the Win | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Last Dawn | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dai Vernon | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Harlan Estate | 8.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Junipero Serra | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Grandson | 10.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | No More Options | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Time for Truth | 10.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lost Ark | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Itsastormymonday | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ocean Atlantique | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Breaking Alone | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Journeyman | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | El Kabong | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Malibu Mambo | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Border Town | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Joyrider | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elusive Knight | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chairman Bob | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | One More Brew | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pretty Capable | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.