Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Undisputed | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Toby | 1.60 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chief Liam | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toga Dan | 4.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Solo Empire | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Come Full Circle | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sebastianthe First | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Dirand (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Vintage Vino | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mortal Lock | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Orator | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Limo | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Operation Overlord | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Party With Smarty | 50.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quiet Moon | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Pill | 50.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Orgonite | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Amundson | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Suerte | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lost in Rome | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brew Pub | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Best Bet | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Elusive d’Oro | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Timaeus | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Thrill of It | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Stolen Base | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | For the Ladies | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sassy One | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Newtown Pike | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clean Winner | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cravings | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Best Girl Magic | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | It’s Carol’s Way | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sion’s Rose | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Daniella Marie | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Fancy Lights | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Scorch | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ticket to Ride | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Devine One | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Raynham Hall | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Hanna’s Hideaway | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | My Boston Beauty | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Just a Click | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Probable Choice | 30.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wayward Queen | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Espresso Tini | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Lil Army Girl | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Lady Rose | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Waya S.) – Waya S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beach Bomb (SAF) | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | La Mehana (FR) | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Big Beautiful (IRE) | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alimara (FR) | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Village Voice (GB) | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | American Sonja (GB) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Alluring Angel (GB) | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sirona (GER) | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Firefoot | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Noir (FR) | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Amanda’s Folly | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Midtown Lights | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Youknownothing | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ranger Battalion | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Social Hour | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Golden Symphony | 10.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dreamlike | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | House United | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Spun | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shattuck | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Red Miller | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Salming | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Momentum Files | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Suspiciously Named | 10.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snare | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | The Commish | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dew | 30.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Free Spin | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Irrelevant | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lough Currane | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Repurpose (GB) | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Career Risk | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Noble One | 50.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Klimt Master | 50.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Porosity | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Candy Moonshine | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Black Rose | 10.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Samartina (FR) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Getting Serious | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Curly Q Girl | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sharing Wisdom (GB) | 6.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perm (IRE) | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Abigail | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Just Brilliant | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Essence L Vee | 30.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Fancy n’ Flight | 30.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Take Home Gold | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Come On Get Happy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Libero | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Big Imagination (JPN) | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.