Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Danzing Daisy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady K Westfall | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cotta Ride | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Donttellmewhattodo | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cee Drew | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Royally Unstable | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Om Time Gal | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Keep the Pavels | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Risky Pleasure | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Trouble and Strife | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Training Good | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Balaza | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Winds of Freedom | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | The Big Cheeseola | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Chicks Only | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Morello | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Don’s Smiling | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Haywood | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Momo’s Kiddo | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Last Call London | 4.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Major Tom | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | She’s Splendid | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rythem Girl | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Stellar Cap | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Anna’s Wish | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fondest Dream (GB) | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Rhonda’s Cookin | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ryder’s Candy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 98 | Flymetothemoonbaby | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Zuma Beach S.) – Zuma Beach S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Won for Lou | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Caro Buono (FR) | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Proletariat | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Third Beer | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stark Contrast | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Medici | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Charlie’s Curlin | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Pippins | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lee’s Baby Boy | 20.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Day Man | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flashy Fritz | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Convergence | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Closing Time | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Three Putt | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Union Secrets | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mama Glows | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Petrakos | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Gypsy Woman (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starts Now | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Laudatory | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Defiance | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beets | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Corporal Violette (IRE) | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Needlepoint (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shy Ann | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Motet | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Esmeray (IRE) | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Double Cappuccino | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Royal Charter (GB) | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Smiling Capote | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Naismith | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Nobel Gary | 5.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mischiefs Causeway | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ten Figures | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gentlemen’s Club | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Dancer | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Delian League | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Updraft | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bad to the Bones | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Surfer Girl S.) – Surfer Girl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Yours Sincerely (IRE) | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Soaring Angel | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | South Bay | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Will Happen | 1.80 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Scratch It | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dreaming of Alys | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Brave Deb | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pentle Bay | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Clouseau | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Impossible Task | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Trusty Rusty | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Known Idea | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pass the Baton | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mala | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Low Expectations | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Owhatarush | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cody Boy | 30.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Geezer | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Bill | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | High King | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Warm Sun and Brew | 4.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | P Town Prancer | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dane the Great | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tiger to You | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Strait Up Country | 30.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Roxiiesbadboy | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sir Percival | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Water Tiger | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Master Cylinder | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 98 | Joe Vittori | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.