Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 9, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Scythian 1.40 1 2-1
5 5 Collaboration 4.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 North End Lady 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Can’t Fool Me 2.50 6.2 12-1
6 6 Bobby M’s Girl 10.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Snowy Evening 8.00 7.5 14-1
3 3 Foxy Cara 30.00 9.9 19-1
10 10 Embraceable Gal 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Sweetest Princess 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Fast and Frisky 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Royal Bobbie 12.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Kay Cup 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Spikezone 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 El Grande O 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Acoustic Ave 2.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Over and Ollie 2.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Nova Rags 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Runninsonofagun 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 No Ordinary Love 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Sassetti 5.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Twirling Lulu 4.50 2.1 4-1
9 9 Aperitif 3.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Lady Angelina 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Bank On Bebe 50.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Rare Society 12.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Kat Stormy 15.00 6.2 12-1
2 2 Lupine 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Confabulation 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Frizzante 2.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Leading Contender 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Who’s the King 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Leftembehind 3.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Vigano 15.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Brave Bear 6.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Dunedin Causeway 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Bod Beach 6.00 1 2-1
6 6 Neigh Baby 3.50 1.9 4-1
7 7 Hong Kong Phooey 3.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Fort Griffin 5.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Wit Storm 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 5 Mo Curls 6.00 6.4 12-1
10 10 Life Is Gravy (IRE) 20.00 7 13-1
2 2 Gonna Make It 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Fightforallegiance 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 First Blessing 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Circuit Court 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Cararra 8.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Purloin 3.50 3.9 7-1
5 5 Tower Twenty Two 6.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Big Air 4.50 5.4 10-1
1 1 Adrian 2.50 5.9 11-1
3 3 Baby Sassicaia 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 That’s Funny 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Devil in Disguise 4.50 1 2-1
7 7 Let It Ride 2.50 3.3 6-1
8 8 Alexis Zorba (GB) 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Typhoon Fury 6.00 4 8-1
5 5 Spoken Bluntly 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Reynolds Channel 6.00 6.6 12-1
3 3 Musical Maestro 8.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Blown Cover 12.00 7.1 13-1
11 11 Exploration 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Trust Issues 4.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Three B’s 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Make a Prediction 8.00 1 2-1
1 1 Sunday Boy 6.00 1.7 3-1
11 11 Newlyn 6.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Smartkenzie 12.00 4.5 9-1
13 13 Jaxer 10.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Coach Ryan 4.50 5.7 11-1
3 3 Bold Love 15.00 7.2 14-1
5 5 A Little At First 5.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Jack’s Mac 12.00 8.8 17-1
7 7 Roscommon 30.00 9.8 19-1
4 4 Tuscan Thunder 30.00 10.1 19-1
14 14 Royal Riddle 2.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Jack’s World 3.50 SCRATCH
15 15 Pride of the Union 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Essentially Fast 30.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.