Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Silver Redesdale | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | War Dept Calling | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonovermontgomery | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gibson | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Equal Force | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | All Saints | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Butchy Boy | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cowboy Cause | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Randy Daytona | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Thisguycanfly | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Gorostieta’s Love | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Muncle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Duke de Vere | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | All Honors | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fast Connection | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Benjamino | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Randemonium | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | In the Gray | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Justlikelouise | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flora Bound | 15.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Golden Keen | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stella Guitar | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whisper Me a Smile | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Sugar Factory | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hint of Promise | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Sweet Deal | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mo Simple | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Little Miss Curlin | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Artic Sailor | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Simply Grace | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Goldzone | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pasila | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glistening Gal | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lightening Mo | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Uno Pea | 4.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Run Bambi Run | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Be a Bandit | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | R T’s Gem | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | In Your Life | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Beautiful Janet | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Talksalot | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bella Carmelina | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Foreign Tourist | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saberfight | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mardi Gras Alarm | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lexington Diva | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Geaux Sugar | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Loudermilk | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Detective Bernardo | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grazen Boy | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brahms Boy | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Flashy Boy | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Bert | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Doublediamond Deal | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sharp Charlie | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Gatsby’s Fortune | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Heavenly Dream | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Easy for Me | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kindling Embers | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Everloving | 2.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Map Needed | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Graceful Star | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Leona | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gimme It All | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Beach Blanket | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sophie’s Painter | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Toni’s Inferno | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Josh G | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Inchhighatahundred | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heavenly Deal | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lost Da Vinci | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tonteria | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Verdict | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flash N Class | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Delphine | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rose Hill Rocket | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slim Causeway | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ain’t Got a Clue | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hot Route | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Santa Maria | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Never Walk Alone | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Indian Girl | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Maiz’n Money | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Cigarette | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.