Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, October 11, 2025

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Top Player 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Pride of the Union 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Royal Riddle 1.80 2.7 5-1
6 6 Rumblyoungmanrumbl 10.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Hurricane Kaz 6.00 3.5 7-1
1 1 Mission Critical 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Looms Boldly 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Loco Abarrio 2.50 1.2 2-1
3 3 Ten Cent Town 1.80 1.7 3-1
4 4 Great Richie M 6.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Gatsby 4.00 6 11-1
2 2 Riyadh Moon 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hoity Moroni 15.00 1 2-1
7 7 Chummers 2.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 True Legend 1.80 2.5 5-1
5 5 Thirsted 12.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Baby Meanie 20.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Kid Rich 4.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Brilliant Fury 8.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Story of Rory 6.00 SCRATCH
10 10 The Toy Cannon 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Liamster 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Artie Schiller S.) – Artie Schiller S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Major Dude 1.00 1 2-1
6 6 Big Everest (GB) 2.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Horsepower 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Otago 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Sand Pipes 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Lucky Score 12.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Light the Way 0.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Noguchi 1.20 1 2-1
8 8 Volunteer Fireman 10.00 2.4 5-1
4 4 Shadow Surge 2.50 2.9 6-1
2 2 How About It 15.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Remember the Chief 20.00 3.7 7-1
7 7 Nice Try Riley 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Seeker’s Hope 6.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Natural Hunk 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Aggregation 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Palace Boss 2.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Land d’Oro 4.50 3.8 7-1
6 6 Russian Realm 6.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 Shared Success 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Refuah 10.00 5 9-1
3 3 Shipsational 8.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Dolly’s Bank 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Leon Blue 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 Miztertonic 6.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Sounds Like a Plan 3.50 2.7 5-1
9 9 Saratoga Flash 5.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Fidelightcayut 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Dear Chairman 6.00 4 8-1
1 1 The Paddock Pastor 8.00 5.3 10-1
5 5 Ramblin’ Wreck 8.00 5.9 11-1
3 3 Cable Ready 8.00 6.5 12-1
10 10 Cicciobello 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Quiet Wisdom 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Skylander 10.00 2 4-1
1 1 Laughing Boy 6.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Goodluckchuck 4.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 He’s Got This 3.00 4.5 8-1
10 10 Coinage 5.00 5 9-1
2 2 Bold Victory 8.00 7 13-1
4 4 Beachwalker 15.00 7.1 13-1
9 9 Bad Larry 30.00 8.9 17-1
5 5 Prince of Joy 50.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Burning Glory 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Get a Job 12.00 2.2 4-1
9 9 Brazenly 4.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Tuscan Gold 3.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Filoso 12.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Waitlist 12.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 V Cruizer 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Turn and Count 20.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Buttah 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Glen Cove S.) – Glen Cove S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Love Cervere 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Pop Idol 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Me Governor 6.00 3.3 6-1
10 10 Annascaul 5.00 3.8 7-1
9 9 Abientot 8.00 4.8 9-1
3 3 Flat Out Time 10.00 4.8 9-1
8 8 Slightly Busy 20.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Italian Soiree 15.00 6 11-1
7 7 It Ain’t Two (GB) 8.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Somnium 20.00 7.2 14-1
11 11 Stone Smuggler 4.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Army Gal 1.60 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Terminal Velocity 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Coach Case 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 El de Larry 2.50 4.3 8-1
1 1 Mo Kreesa 6.00 4.9 9-1
13 13 Willintoriskitall 6.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Zapruder 8.00 5.7 11-1
9 9 I’m Due 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Kid Kreesa 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 Spirit of the Law 15.00 9.2 17-1
12 12 Prince of Troy 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 A Lister 50.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Senegal 3.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Annexperience 3.50 SCRATCH
11 11 Moe Eighty Eight 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.