Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shifthewind | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Williston Warrior | 4.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stonecoldhandsome | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gunn’s Roar | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tug | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Knocking Luck | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Don’t Copy Me | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pergamon | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sugar On Fire | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Harvard | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Secret Treasure | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Roadtriptonowhere | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Ambition | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bermondsey | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bandero | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Level Up | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grey Streak | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Off the Meds | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Reppazz | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eskenforave and Ak | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tailored for Joy | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flaming Spirit | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Humoresque | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chloe’s Banker | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quite So | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thegangsallhere | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Performance Plus | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Scheduling Dude | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stormy Hollow | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | My Boy Rocky | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Look Sharp | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | K’s Pick | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rolly | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Federal Exchange | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sir Banana Brian | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hello Sunshine | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Color Field | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Work Hard | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bullring Bully | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Electioneering | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 11 | 11 | If I Were You | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jace Is No Joke | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Reggae Man | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Josh | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sidney’s Bid | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Knockout Guy | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duke of Dooly | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wine Empire | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Renovator | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Beekman Street | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sioux Empire | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kravitz | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Harry O | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Win Street | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Andolin | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | McCready | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Marcan Love | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | First Officer | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mickeymac | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Minister Confessor | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (White Clay Creek S.) – White Clay Creek S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Jumping the Gun | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dazzling Dame | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Call | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Patty’s Girl | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Fulton Gal | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Go Mischievous | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dakota Cam | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Noon Time Tide | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two Bits | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Savor It | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Souper Tuscan | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eastbostonbenny | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Boat Song | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Intrepid’s Legacy | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cold as Hell | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bourbon Aficionado | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Canuto | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Grouch | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Altobelli | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Rocky Run S.) – Rocky Run S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Probably Dreaming | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Blue | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chalky White | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freely Held | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Sweeper | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Empire of Glory | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | G Q Worthy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.