Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Flame Rock Fire | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Staniel Cay | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | High Adventure | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | U Rascal U | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runner Runner | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eagle in the Air | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stephen’s Believen | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Isle Call U Later | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Super Taco | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | For Harper | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lightofmaine | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wonderrand | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Ridge Queen | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Jeopardy | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Max’s Redemption | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Parole Drama | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Take the Hint | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pineapple Willy | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Imperial Cruiser | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marks Legacy | 5.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Dickie T | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Wildly Wicked | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mingling Mo | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Go Get Trae | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hadean Star | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zip Around | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Scar Ship | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hurricane Lassie | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wupkar | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Kristen | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sis Boom Bob | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | She Has It All | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Madelyn’s Hit | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Custom Sunshine | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Good N Sassy | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | First Love | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Myspittinimage | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Miss Metoyer | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Encore d’Oro | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | K K’s First Dance | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gatsby’sgreenlight | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bella Blu Moon | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dewey’s Soldier | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Maggies Mission | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Kara Flash | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Magnolia S.) – Magnolia S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Free Like a Girl | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Secret Faith | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Rising Inflation | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Norah G | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nodah | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beleout | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Molto Vino | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Megans Millions | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Porches | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Motor City | 3.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Spamalot | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Same Play | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Barron | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Contrabandist | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sarah’s Runner | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Texas Adopter | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Gold Cup S.) – Gold Cup S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Touchuponastar | 0.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Allnight Moonlight | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | He’s Just Lucky | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Good and Stout | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Highland Creek | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Letmikefigureitout | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Doctored Deal | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Myglorybee | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | House Bourbon | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tdzshininluckystar | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Throwin’ Shade | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Heat Lightning | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Incredible Shot | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | B Minor | 3.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Reg | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Confucius | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | F J’s Flaco | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Insignis | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jim Ned | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Scallywag | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Veracruzin | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cookn Wit Catman | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Malibu Brad | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.