Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Illustrator | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | From the Heart | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Legendary Lore | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Don’task Don’ttell | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharp Spark | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Team Leader | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mach Two | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keraunos | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hit One Out | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sarge’s Sermon | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stumpy’s Love Song | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Code Jorgie | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vestes | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Leviathan Axe | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wristband | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grandsonsam | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wrinkle Road | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gunny Highway | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Isaidwhatisaid | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Brave Okie | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Red Devil | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Amadora’s Empire | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grace Given | 2.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Summertimee | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Iuka Miss | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Global Holiday | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Capetown Candy | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Immelmann | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Loco Luna | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cawkab | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Axton | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grapnel | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Allo Enry | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ben Diesel | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Clay’s Black Opal | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ship It Red | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wilburnsclassylady | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cashmere Dancer | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Viewers Discretion | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Wild Express | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | She’sskysthelimit | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Templar Red | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Karat Cake | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Stone Cold Lover | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baby Gundin | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | San Mateo Kat | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Regal Rumor | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trafalgar Shore | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mia Baby | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Ninja | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Okie Bling | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mamashavnahotflash | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stormy’s Revenge | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Neutralize | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bluebonnet Girl | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shawk’s Lil Mia | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rivetage | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Touch Of Glam (ARG) | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Parkway | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bergheim | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beau Day | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Devil’s Mischief | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wish Man | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cloudy Past | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Kerry’s Kiss | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bang Bang Fury | 4.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Beau Soleil | 5.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tapit First | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Affair | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mysidehustle | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sabres | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Doll | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Can’t Zap This | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Arr Piratetreasure | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yoda Winner | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ooey Gooey Chewy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Da Chief | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bijou Bear | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Waylon’s Guitar | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hay Scooby Doo | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Devious Dennis | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mr Peloton | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Baja Boogie | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.